☆
· USA · MLS
Team ☆
all results ›
Played
556
Draw %
30.0%
No-draw N
3
Max streak
15
26 Jun 2015 → 04 Oct 2015
Avg top run
9.6
top 10
Draw debt E
0.90
p50
30.0%
p100
30.0%
Draw score
0.236
rank #619
Draws
167
Trophies
Team strength · Elo
all ratings ›
Rating
1,622
everyone starts at 1500
Peak
1,652
reached 6 May 2017
Rank
#472
of 14,598 clubs
Matches rated
556
last 14 Oct 2026
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 17 Oct 2026.
Recent form · draws highlighted
Luck or skill
how this is worked out ›
Over 442 matches (Mar 2015 – Oct 2026), FC Dallas drew 133 where the draw model expected 115.1 from those particular fixtures — about 18 more, or 1.9 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 4 times running. A flat league average would have expected 111.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
Longest no-draw runs
all on the records page ›
1 15
26 Jun 2015 → 04 Oct 2015
2 12
16 Aug 2014 → 29 Oct 2014
3 11
25 May 2018 → 14 Jul 2018
4 10
21 Oct 2023 → 30 Mar 2024
5 9
06 Oct 2018 → 23 Feb 2019
6 9
22 Mar 2014 → 10 May 2014
7 8
31 May 2023 → 08 Jul 2023
8 8
13 Apr 2016 → 21 May 2016
9 7
22 Apr 2026 → 23 May 2026
10 7
09 Mar 2019 → 20 Apr 2019
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 26 Jun 2015 → 04 Oct 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 12 | 16 Aug 2014 → 29 Oct 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 11 | 25 May 2018 → 14 Jul 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 21 Oct 2023 → 30 Mar 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 06 Oct 2018 → 23 Feb 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 22 Mar 2014 → 10 May 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 31 May 2023 → 08 Jul 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 13 Apr 2016 → 21 May 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 7 | 22 Apr 2026 → 23 May 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 09 Mar 2019 → 20 Apr 2019 | ▸ matches |
By competition (all-time)
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLS | 513 | 152 | 29.6% | 3 | 14 |
| US Open Cup | 31 | 10 | 32.3% | 0 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 12 | 5 | 41.7% | 1 | 4 |
By calendar year
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 29 | 8 | 27.6% | 7 |
| 2025 | 38 | 13 | 34.2% | 5 |
| 2024 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 6 |
| 2023 | 39 | 13 | 33.3% | 8 |
| 2022 | 38 | 13 | 34.2% | 5 |
| 2021 | 34 | 12 | 35.3% | 5 |
| 2020 | 24 | 8 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 2019 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 7 |
| 2018 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 11 |
| 2017 | 43 | 19 | 44.2% | 3 |
| 2016 | 41 | 12 | 29.3% | 8 |
| 2015 | 40 | 7 | 17.5% | 15 |
| 2014 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 12 |
| 2013 | 34 | 11 | 32.4% | 5 |
| 2012 | 34 | 12 | 35.3% | 5 |
| 2007 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2006 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2005 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 2004 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
Matches
all results ›
Upcoming fixtures
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 17 Oct 00:30 |
Houston Dynamo
|
vs |
|
2.12 3.47 3.12 | 28.0% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 24 Oct 00:30 |
FC Dallas
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.1% |
|
| Wed, 28 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 28 Oct 00:30 |
FC Dallas
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 31 Oct 19:00 |
Sporting Kansas City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.4% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 07 Nov 00:00 |
FC Dallas
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.5% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.