SC Fortuna Köln
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 1 Oct 2026.
Over 177 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), SC Fortuna Köln drew 46 where the draw model expected 49.7 from those particular fixtures — about 4 fewer, or 0.6 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 48.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 26 Nov 2011 → 11 Apr 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 15 | 12 Mar 2016 → 10 Sep 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 14 | 14 May 1995 → 30 Sep 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 12 | 10 Feb 2018 → 21 Apr 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 04 Apr 2017 → 02 Aug 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 06 Aug 2014 → 04 Oct 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 04 Sep 1993 → 20 Nov 1993 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 09 Apr 2000 → 25 May 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 17 May 1998 → 23 Aug 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 05 May 2018 → 02 Sep 2018 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2. Bundesliga | 242 | 74 | 30.6% | 9 | 14 |
| 3. Liga | 198 | 52 | 26.3% | 1 | 15 |
| Regionalliga West | 36 | 8 | 22.2% | 0 | 16 |
| DFB-Pokal | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 9 | 4 | 44.4% | 2 |
| 2019 | 18 | 7 | 38.9% | 5 |
| 2018 | 38 | 8 | 21.1% | 12 |
| 2017 | 39 | 12 | 30.8% | 11 |
| 2016 | 36 | 7 | 19.4% | 15 |
| 2015 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 6 |
| 2014 | 22 | 6 | 27.3% | 11 |
| 2013 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2012 | 18 | 2 | 11.1% | 12 |
| 2011 | 18 | 6 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 2000 | 17 | 5 | 29.4% | 9 |
| 1999 | 32 | 13 | 40.6% | 7 |
| 1998 | 36 | 13 | 36.1% | 9 |
| 1997 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 6 |
| 1996 | 32 | 11 | 34.4% | 5 |
| 1995 | 36 | 7 | 19.4% | 14 |
| 1994 | 36 | 13 | 36.1% | 5 |
| 1993 | 19 | 3 | 15.8% | 11 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 12:00 |
SC Fortuna Köln
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Tue, 13 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 13 Oct 17:00 |
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.0% |
|
| Fri, 16 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 16 Oct 17:00 |
SC Fortuna Köln
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Sun, 25 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 25 Oct 15:30 |
Preußen Münster
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.9% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 15:30 |
SC Fortuna Köln
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 07 Nov 13:00 |
Waldhof Mannheim
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
| Sat, 14 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 14 Nov 13:00 |
Viktoria Köln
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Sat, 21 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 21 Nov 13:00 |
SC Fortuna Köln
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.0% |
|
| Sun, 29 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 29 Nov 12:30 |
Viktoria Köln
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Sat, 05 Dec 2026 | ||||||
| 05 Dec 13:00 |
SC Fortuna Köln
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.3% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.