What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 4 Oct 2026.
Over 478 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Elche CF drew 140 where the draw model expected 134.1 from those particular fixtures — about 6 more, or 0.6 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 133.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 10 Mar 2007 → 26 Aug 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 15 | 10 Apr 2010 → 18 Sep 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 16 Dec 2011 → 17 Mar 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 12 | 14 May 2005 → 02 Oct 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 05 Feb 2022 → 19 Apr 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 05 Feb 2011 → 09 Apr 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 10 | 17 Mar 2017 → 19 May 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 10 | 16 May 2012 → 15 Sep 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 10 | 02 Mar 2003 → 04 May 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 08 Mar 2026 → 03 May 2026 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Segunda División | 882 | 265 | 30.0% | 5 | 16 |
| La Liga | 235 | 67 | 28.5% | 2 | 11 |
| Copa del Rey | 47 | 12 | 25.5% | 2 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 1 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 33 | 10 | 30.3% | 9 |
| 2025 | 46 | 13 | 28.3% | 7 |
| 2024 | 45 | 11 | 24.4% | 7 |
| 2023 | 48 | 13 | 27.1% | 9 |
| 2022 | 40 | 8 | 20.0% | 11 |
| 2021 | 46 | 11 | 23.9% | 7 |
| 2020 | 38 | 14 | 36.8% | 7 |
| 2019 | 45 | 14 | 31.1% | 5 |
| 2018 | 21 | 9 | 42.9% | 6 |
| 2017 | 28 | 8 | 28.6% | 10 |
| 2016 | 45 | 19 | 42.2% | 4 |
| 2015 | 43 | 10 | 23.3% | 9 |
| 2014 | 39 | 13 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 2013 | 42 | 16 | 38.1% | 6 |
| 2012 | 43 | 5 | 11.6% | 11 |
| 2011 | 43 | 12 | 27.9% | 11 |
| 2010 | 42 | 11 | 26.2% | 15 |
| 2009 | 42 | 13 | 31.0% | 8 |
| 2008 | 45 | 14 | 31.1% | 8 |
| 2007 | 44 | 10 | 22.7% | 16 |
| 2006 | 43 | 16 | 37.2% | 6 |
| 2005 | 42 | 9 | 21.4% | 12 |
| 2004 | 43 | 8 | 18.6% | 8 |
| 2003 | 43 | 14 | 32.6% | 10 |
| 2002 | 38 | 13 | 34.2% | 5 |
| 2001 | 44 | 19 | 43.2% | 6 |
| 2000 | 41 | 15 | 36.6% | 9 |
| 1999 | 19 | 7 | 36.8% | 8 |
| 1998 | 22 | 7 | 31.8% | 6 |
| 1997 | 20 | 5 | 25.0% | 4 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, 11 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 11 Oct 12:00 |
Elche CF
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 14:15 |
Villarreal CF
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 21.9% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 12:00 |
Rayo Vallecano
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.7% |
|
| Sun, 01 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 01 Nov 17:30 |
Elche CF
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.9% |
|
| Sun, 08 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 08 Nov 20:00 |
Elche CF
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.