East Stirlingshire
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 744 matches (Aug 1997 – Oct 2025), East Stirlingshire drew 110 where the draw model expected 150.7 from those particular fixtures — about 41 fewer, or 3.7 standard errors, well beyond the model — which is as likely to be a gap in the model as a property of East Stirlingshire.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 13 times running. A flat league average would have expected 163.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 42 | 02 Sep 2003 → 18 Sep 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 26 | 01 Mar 2014 → 22 Nov 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 24 | 30 Sep 2009 → 23 Mar 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 23 | 24 Mar 2012 → 15 Dec 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 23 | 06 Mar 2007 → 03 Nov 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 22 | 16 Feb 2013 → 06 Oct 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 19 | 29 Nov 2008 → 04 Apr 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 17 | 02 Apr 2011 → 15 Oct 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 17 | 16 Sep 2006 → 10 Feb 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 16 | 24 Mar 2001 → 18 Sep 2001 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottish League Two | 684 | 105 | 15.4% | 0 | 39 |
| Scottish Cup | 42 | 5 | 11.9% | 2 | 3 |
| Scottish League Cup | 18 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 | 4 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2024 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2023 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2022 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2021 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2020 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2019 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2018 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2017 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2016 | 26 | 5 | 19.2% | 7 |
| 2015 | 37 | 4 | 10.8% | 13 |
| 2014 | 38 | 4 | 10.5% | 26 |
| 2013 | 41 | 8 | 19.5% | 22 |
| 2012 | 38 | 5 | 13.2% | 23 |
| 2011 | 45 | 6 | 13.3% | 17 |
| 2010 | 37 | 5 | 13.5% | 13 |
| 2009 | 38 | 3 | 7.9% | 15 |
| 2008 | 40 | 6 | 15.0% | 11 |
| 2007 | 37 | 3 | 8.1% | 23 |
| 2006 | 38 | 3 | 7.9% | 13 |
| 2005 | 38 | 5 | 13.2% | 15 |
| 2004 | 38 | 5 | 13.2% | 27 |
| 2003 | 37 | 4 | 10.8% | 15 |
| 2002 | 40 | 7 | 17.5% | 11 |
| 2001 | 38 | 8 | 21.1% | 16 |
| 2000 | 37 | 6 | 16.2% | 9 |
| 1999 | 33 | 8 | 24.2% | 7 |
| 1998 | 37 | 14 | 37.8% | 7 |
| 1997 | 19 | 1 | 5.3% | 14 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 03 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 03 Oct 14:00 | Bonnyton Thistle | vs |
|
– / – / – | 19.5% | SCO · Scottish Cup |
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.