D.C. United
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 1 Oct 2026.
Over 423 matches (Mar 2015 – Sep 2026), D.C. United drew 116 where the draw model expected 106.3 from those particular fixtures — about 10 more, or 1.1 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 106.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 21 Oct 2021 → 10 May 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 15 | 22 Apr 2012 → 12 Aug 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 12 Jun 2014 → 31 Aug 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 13 Jun 2017 → 30 Jul 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 18 Apr 2021 → 20 Jun 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 25 Sep 2016 → 25 Feb 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 20 Sep 2015 → 07 Mar 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 30 Jun 2015 → 31 Aug 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 05 Aug 2019 → 23 Sep 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 22 Mar 2025 → 04 May 2025 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLS | 505 | 131 | 25.9% | 0 | 15 |
| US Open Cup | 21 | 10 | 47.6% | 0 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 1 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 30 | 14 | 46.7% | 4 |
| 2025 | 37 | 13 | 35.1% | 7 |
| 2024 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% | 7 |
| 2023 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 7 |
| 2022 | 37 | 6 | 16.2% | 11 |
| 2021 | 34 | 5 | 14.7% | 9 |
| 2020 | 23 | 6 | 26.1% | 5 |
| 2019 | 41 | 14 | 34.2% | 8 |
| 2018 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 6 |
| 2017 | 39 | 5 | 12.8% | 10 |
| 2016 | 36 | 14 | 38.9% | 6 |
| 2015 | 39 | 7 | 18.0% | 9 |
| 2014 | 36 | 8 | 22.2% | 12 |
| 2013 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 7 |
| 2012 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 15 |
| 2006 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2005 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 23:30 |
Inter Miami CF
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 11.1% |
|
| Wed, 14 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 14 Oct 23:30 |
D.C. United
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.9% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 23:30 |
Orlando City SC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% |
|
| Wed, 21 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 21 Oct 23:00 |
FC Cincinnati
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 23:30 |
D.C. United
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.0% |
|
| Wed, 28 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 28 Oct 23:30 |
Toronto FC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 18:00 |
Columbus Crew
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 19.5% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 07 Nov 21:00 |
D.C. United
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.7% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.