Carl Zeiss Jena
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 204 matches (Aug 2015 – Sep 2026), Carl Zeiss Jena drew 56 where the draw model expected 53.4 from those particular fixtures — about 3 more, or 0.4 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 53.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 06 Apr 2019 → 24 Aug 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 13 | 27 Mar 2018 → 07 Aug 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 9 | 15 Dec 2006 → 11 Mar 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 8 | 24 Mar 2012 → 28 Apr 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 8 | 16 Sep 1970 → 29 Jul 1971 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 7 | 12 Jul 2026 → 23 Aug 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 7 | 23 Sep 2017 → 18 Nov 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 21 Sep 1997 → 07 Nov 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 7 | 15 Sep 1995 → 03 Nov 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 14 Aug 1993 → 02 Oct 1993 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3. Liga | 266 | 77 | 29.0% | 1 | 13 |
| 2. Bundesliga | 208 | 71 | 34.1% | 0 | 9 |
| Regionalliga Nordost | 79 | 24 | 30.4% | 5 | 6 |
| UEFA Europa League | 42 | 8 | 19.1% | 2 | 4 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 27 | 8 | 29.6% | 1 | 4 |
| DFB-Pokal | 21 | 3 | 14.3% | 1 | 3 |
| UEFA Champions League | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 | 6 |
| Inter-Cities Fairs Cup | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 6 | 6 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 13 | 1 | 7.7% | 7 |
| 2024 | 18 | 6 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 2023 | 36 | 11 | 30.6% | 5 |
| 2022 | 17 | 6 | 35.3% | 5 |
| 2021 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2020 | 19 | 5 | 26.3% | 4 |
| 2019 | 38 | 10 | 26.3% | 13 |
| 2018 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 13 |
| 2017 | 20 | 6 | 30.0% | 7 |
| 2016 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2015 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2014 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2012 | 18 | 7 | 38.9% | 8 |
| 2011 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 5 |
| 2010 | 38 | 11 | 29.0% | 5 |
| 2009 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 6 |
| 2008 | 42 | 15 | 35.7% | 6 |
| 2007 | 36 | 9 | 25.0% | 8 |
| 2006 | 18 | 7 | 38.9% | 4 |
| 1998 | 17 | 5 | 29.4% | 4 |
| 1997 | 34 | 11 | 32.4% | 7 |
| 1996 | 32 | 12 | 37.5% | 6 |
| 1995 | 19 | 5 | 26.3% | 7 |
| 1994 | 19 | 9 | 47.4% | 3 |
| 1993 | 19 | 7 | 36.8% | 7 |
| 1988 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1986 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1983 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1982 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1981 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 7 |
| 1980 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1979 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1978 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1977 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 1975 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1974 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1973 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1972 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1971 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 4 |
| 1970 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1969 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 6 |
| 1963 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1962 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1961 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.