What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 4 Oct 2026.
Over 396 matches (Mar 2015 – Sep 2026), CSKA Moscow drew 96 where the draw model expected 98.9 from those particular fixtures — about 3 fewer, or 0.3 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 100.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 06 Dec 2013 → 18 Oct 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 20 | 14 Sep 2025 → 12 Apr 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 19 | 14 Mar 2012 → 18 Nov 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 13 | 21 Apr 2017 → 12 Aug 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 12 | 26 Nov 2017 → 09 Apr 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 28 Sep 2013 → 27 Nov 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 10 | 29 Nov 2014 → 13 Apr 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 29 Oct 2022 → 15 Apr 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 17 Dec 2020 → 25 Apr 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 08 May 2021 → 26 Aug 2021 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 422 | 92 | 21.8% | 0 | 22 |
| UEFA Champions League | 96 | 23 | 24.0% | 5 | 6 |
| UEFA Europa League | 69 | 18 | 26.1% | 2 | 6 |
| Club Friendlies | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 4 | 4 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| UEFA Super Cup | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 | 0 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 22 | 5 | 22.7% | 9 |
| 2025 | 30 | 7 | 23.3% | 11 |
| 2024 | 30 | 9 | 30.0% | 7 |
| 2023 | 31 | 9 | 29.0% | 6 |
| 2022 | 29 | 7 | 24.1% | 7 |
| 2021 | 29 | 4 | 13.8% | 8 |
| 2020 | 36 | 11 | 30.6% | 6 |
| 2019 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 7 |
| 2018 | 38 | 10 | 26.3% | 7 |
| 2017 | 41 | 9 | 22.0% | 13 |
| 2016 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 6 |
| 2015 | 37 | 7 | 18.9% | 7 |
| 2014 | 34 | 3 | 8.8% | 23 |
| 2013 | 36 | 7 | 19.4% | 11 |
| 2012 | 23 | 2 | 8.7% | 19 |
| 2011 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2010 | 14 | 3 | 21.4% | 6 |
| 2009 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 2008 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 6 |
| 2007 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 2006 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 3 |
| 2005 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2004 | 14 | 5 | 35.7% | 4 |
| 2003 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2002 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2000 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1999 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1996 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1994 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1993 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1992 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1991 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1981 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1971 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, 04 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 04 Oct 12:00 |
CSKA Moscow
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 15.9% | ITL · Club Friendlies |
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.