Celta Vigo
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 30 Sep 2026.
Over 536 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Celta Vigo drew 148 where the draw model expected 134.6 from those particular fixtures — about 13 more, or 1.3 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 136.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 30 Jan 2005 → 25 Sep 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 17 | 22 Jan 2006 → 03 May 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 16 | 24 Apr 2010 → 09 Oct 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 16 | 24 Feb 2002 → 01 Sep 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 05 Apr 2025 → 17 Aug 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 13 | 26 Sep 2013 → 19 Dec 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 18 Mar 2007 → 17 Jun 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 11 | 19 Mar 2026 → 12 May 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 01 Dec 2002 → 16 Feb 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 10 | 04 Mar 2017 → 16 Apr 2017 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Liga | 1041 | 285 | 27.4% | 1 | 18 |
| Segunda División | 252 | 77 | 30.6% | 0 | 21 |
| UEFA Europa League | 79 | 18 | 22.8% | 1 | 7 |
| Copa del Rey | 68 | 17 | 25.0% | 0 | 5 |
| Club Friendlies | 13 | 5 | 38.5% | 0 | 3 |
| UEFA Champions League | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 36 | 11 | 30.6% | 11 |
| 2025 | 55 | 16 | 29.1% | 13 |
| 2024 | 44 | 8 | 18.2% | 7 |
| 2023 | 45 | 14 | 31.1% | 7 |
| 2022 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 9 |
| 2021 | 43 | 12 | 27.9% | 9 |
| 2020 | 39 | 17 | 43.6% | 6 |
| 2019 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 8 |
| 2018 | 44 | 16 | 36.4% | 5 |
| 2017 | 54 | 10 | 18.5% | 10 |
| 2016 | 54 | 13 | 24.1% | 8 |
| 2015 | 43 | 11 | 25.6% | 7 |
| 2014 | 39 | 8 | 20.5% | 7 |
| 2013 | 41 | 8 | 19.5% | 13 |
| 2012 | 44 | 7 | 15.9% | 8 |
| 2011 | 45 | 14 | 31.1% | 8 |
| 2010 | 46 | 14 | 30.4% | 16 |
| 2009 | 45 | 18 | 40.0% | 5 |
| 2008 | 43 | 14 | 32.6% | 6 |
| 2007 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 12 |
| 2006 | 49 | 12 | 24.5% | 17 |
| 2005 | 41 | 3 | 7.3% | 26 |
| 2004 | 41 | 13 | 31.7% | 10 |
| 2003 | 48 | 18 | 37.5% | 7 |
| 2002 | 41 | 9 | 22.0% | 16 |
| 2001 | 44 | 14 | 31.8% | 7 |
| 2000 | 47 | 14 | 29.8% | 10 |
| 1999 | 50 | 10 | 20.0% | 8 |
| 1998 | 43 | 13 | 30.2% | 5 |
| 1997 | 43 | 12 | 27.9% | 8 |
| 1996 | 41 | 15 | 36.6% | 6 |
| 1995 | 41 | 14 | 34.2% | 4 |
| 1994 | 37 | 11 | 29.7% | 10 |
| 1993 | 16 | 6 | 37.5% | 6 |
| 1971 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, 11 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 11 Oct 12:00 |
Elche CF
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Thu, 15 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 15 Oct 19:00 |
Celta Vigo
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.4% |
|
| Sun, 18 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 18 Oct 14:15 |
Celta Vigo
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.3% |
|
| Thu, 22 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 22 Oct 19:00 |
Celtic
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% |
|
| Sun, 25 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 25 Oct 15:15 |
Celta Vigo
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.0% |
|
| Sun, 01 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 01 Nov 20:00 |
Rayo Vallecano
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.0% |
|
| Thu, 05 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 05 Nov 20:00 |
Celta Vigo
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.9% |
|
| Sun, 08 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 08 Nov 20:00 |
Celta Vigo
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.