What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 2 Oct 2026.
Over 282 matches (Apr 2015 – May 2026), Ceará SC drew 94 where the draw model expected 82.2 from those particular fixtures — about 12 more, or 1.6 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 75.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 16 Aug 2020 → 23 Sep 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 9 | 17 May 2025 → 27 Jul 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 9 | 10 Dec 2021 → 11 May 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 13 Mar 2019 → 02 Jun 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 7 | 23 Oct 2022 → 01 Mar 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 7 | 07 Jan 2021 → 04 Feb 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 7 | 20 Jul 2019 → 31 Aug 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 6 | 09 Jul 2022 → 30 Jul 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 29 Sep 2019 → 21 Oct 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 31 Oct 2021 → 17 Nov 2021 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie A | 228 | 76 | 33.3% | 2 | 9 |
| Copa do Brasil | 66 | 20 | 30.3% | 2 | 6 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 2025 | 42 | 11 | 26.2% | 9 |
| 2024 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2023 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2022 | 44 | 16 | 36.4% | 8 |
| 2021 | 51 | 20 | 39.2% | 7 |
| 2020 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 12 |
| 2019 | 42 | 11 | 26.2% | 9 |
| 2018 | 42 | 16 | 38.1% | 5 |
| 2017 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2016 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 3 |
| 2015 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 3 |
| 2014 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 4 |
| 2013 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
