☆
· BRA · Copa do Brasil
Team ☆
all results ›
Played
294
Draw %
32.7%
No-draw N
2
Max streak
12
16 Aug 2020 → 23 Sep 2020
Avg top run
7.7
top 10
Draw debt E
0.58
p50
26.0%
p100
31.0%
Draw score
0.202
rank #755
Draws
96
Team strength · Elo
all ratings ›
Rating
1,595
everyone starts at 1500
Peak
1,685
reached 15 Jun 2022
Rank
#554
of 14,598 clubs
Matches rated
294
last 13 May 2026
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 15 Oct 2026.
Recent form · draws highlighted
Luck or skill
how this is worked out ›
Over 282 matches (Apr 2015 – May 2026), Ceará SC drew 94 where the draw model expected 82.1 from those particular fixtures — about 12 more, or 1.6 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 75.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
Longest no-draw runs
all on the records page ›
1 12
16 Aug 2020 → 23 Sep 2020
2 9
17 May 2025 → 27 Jul 2025
3 9
09 Dec 2021 → 11 May 2022
4 9
13 Mar 2019 → 02 Jun 2019
5 7
23 Oct 2022 → 01 Mar 2023
6 7
07 Jan 2021 → 03 Feb 2021
7 7
20 Jul 2019 → 31 Aug 2019
8 6
09 Jul 2022 → 30 Jul 2022
9 6
29 Sep 2019 → 21 Oct 2019
10 5
31 Oct 2021 → 17 Nov 2021
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 16 Aug 2020 → 23 Sep 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 9 | 17 May 2025 → 27 Jul 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 9 | 09 Dec 2021 → 11 May 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 13 Mar 2019 → 02 Jun 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 7 | 23 Oct 2022 → 01 Mar 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 7 | 07 Jan 2021 → 03 Feb 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 7 | 20 Jul 2019 → 31 Aug 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 6 | 09 Jul 2022 → 30 Jul 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 29 Sep 2019 → 21 Oct 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 31 Oct 2021 → 17 Nov 2021 | ▸ matches |
By competition (all-time)
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie A | 228 | 76 | 33.3% | 2 | 9 |
| Copa do Brasil | 66 | 20 | 30.3% | 2 | 6 |
By calendar year
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 2025 | 42 | 11 | 26.2% | 9 |
| 2024 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2023 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2022 | 44 | 16 | 36.4% | 8 |
| 2021 | 51 | 20 | 39.2% | 7 |
| 2020 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 12 |
| 2019 | 42 | 11 | 26.2% | 9 |
| 2018 | 42 | 16 | 38.1% | 5 |
| 2017 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2016 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 3 |
| 2015 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 3 |
| 2014 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 4 |
| 2013 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
Matches
all results ›
294 matches · page 1 / 8
‹ prev
next ›