Cádiz CF
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 4 Oct 2026.
Over 457 matches (Sep 2015 – Oct 2026), Cádiz CF drew 148 where the draw model expected 131.2 from those particular fixtures — about 17 more, or 1.7 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 4 times running. A flat league average would have expected 128.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 27 Oct 2018 → 06 Jan 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 11 | 23 Feb 2026 → 27 Apr 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 9 | 22 May 2022 → 16 Sep 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 04 Jul 2020 → 01 Oct 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 8 | 04 Jun 2019 → 17 Sep 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 05 Nov 2017 → 15 Dec 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 20 Nov 2016 → 22 Jan 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 30 Oct 2004 → 18 Dec 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 7 | 16 Nov 2025 → 21 Dec 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 25 Apr 2025 → 17 Aug 2025 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Segunda División | 470 | 153 | 32.6% | 1 | 11 |
| La Liga | 190 | 65 | 34.2% | 1 | 7 |
| Copa del Rey | 44 | 7 | 15.9% | 2 | 6 |
| Club Friendlies | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 3 | 5 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 11 |
| 2025 | 42 | 11 | 26.2% | 7 |
| 2024 | 44 | 15 | 34.1% | 5 |
| 2023 | 43 | 16 | 37.2% | 7 |
| 2022 | 44 | 14 | 31.8% | 9 |
| 2021 | 45 | 17 | 37.8% | 5 |
| 2020 | 39 | 13 | 33.3% | 9 |
| 2019 | 45 | 15 | 33.3% | 8 |
| 2018 | 47 | 15 | 31.9% | 11 |
| 2017 | 47 | 16 | 34.0% | 8 |
| 2016 | 23 | 7 | 30.4% | 5 |
| 2015 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2014 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 2011 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2010 | 25 | 7 | 28.0% | 5 |
| 2009 | 17 | 7 | 41.2% | 4 |
| 2008 | 24 | 9 | 37.5% | 5 |
| 2007 | 43 | 13 | 30.2% | 5 |
| 2006 | 40 | 14 | 35.0% | 5 |
| 2005 | 41 | 14 | 34.2% | 6 |
| 2004 | 43 | 11 | 25.6% | 8 |
| 2003 | 17 | 3 | 17.7% | 6 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, 11 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 11 Oct 19:00 |
Cádiz CF
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.9% |
|
| Sun, 18 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 18 Oct 14:15 |
Granada CF
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
| Sun, 25 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 25 Oct 15:15 |
Cádiz CF
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.2% |
|
| Sun, 01 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 01 Nov 20:00 |
RCD Mallorca
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 19.2% |
|
| Sun, 08 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 08 Nov 20:00 |
Cádiz CF
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 30.3% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.