☆
· TUR · Süper Lig
Team ☆
all results ›
Played
797
Draw %
25.6%
No-draw N
0
Max streak
16
15 Feb 2025 → 05 Aug 2025
Avg top run
11.3
top 10
Draw debt E
0.00
p50
28.0%
p100
23.0%
Draw score
0.076
rank #1,762
Draws
204
Trophies
Team strength · Elo
all ratings ›
Rating
1,758
everyone starts at 1500
Peak
1,881
reached 5 Apr 2020
Rank
#204
of 14,598 clubs
Matches rated
797
last 11 Oct 2026
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 16 Oct 2026.
Recent form · draws highlighted
Luck or skill
how this is worked out ›
Over 522 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), İstanbul Başakşehir drew 138 where the draw model expected 126.3 from those particular fixtures — about 12 more, or 1.2 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 127.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
Longest no-draw runs
all on the records page ›
1 16
15 Feb 2025 → 05 Aug 2025
2 14
15 May 2021 → 20 Nov 2021
3 12
07 Dec 2008 → 21 Mar 2009
4 11
15 Aug 2015 → 25 Oct 2015
5 11
28 Feb 2010 → 01 May 2010
6 10
30 May 2023 → 28 Sep 2023
7 10
30 Nov 2017 → 29 Jan 2018
8 10
08 Mar 2008 → 10 May 2008
9 10
10 Aug 2007 → 20 Oct 2007
10 9
17 Oct 2020 → 24 Nov 2020
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 15 Feb 2025 → 05 Aug 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 15 May 2021 → 20 Nov 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 07 Dec 2008 → 21 Mar 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 11 | 15 Aug 2015 → 25 Oct 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 28 Feb 2010 → 01 May 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 10 | 30 May 2023 → 28 Sep 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 10 | 30 Nov 2017 → 29 Jan 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 10 | 08 Mar 2008 → 10 May 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 10 | 10 Aug 2007 → 20 Oct 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 17 Oct 2020 → 24 Nov 2020 | ▸ matches |
By competition (all-time)
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Süper Lig | 635 | 157 | 24.7% | 0 | 14 |
| Turkish Cup | 108 | 33 | 30.6% | 1 | 5 |
| UEFA Europa League | 24 | 6 | 25.0% | 8 | 8 |
| UEFA Conference League | 20 | 6 | 30.0% | 2 | 3 |
| UEFA Champions League | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 | 6 |
| Club Friendlies | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
By calendar year
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 28 | 8 | 28.6% | 7 |
| 2025 | 44 | 7 | 15.9% | 16 |
| 2024 | 46 | 12 | 26.1% | 7 |
| 2023 | 46 | 12 | 26.1% | 10 |
| 2022 | 41 | 9 | 22.0% | 7 |
| 2021 | 49 | 14 | 28.6% | 14 |
| 2020 | 44 | 9 | 20.5% | 9 |
| 2019 | 44 | 12 | 27.3% | 5 |
| 2018 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 8 |
| 2017 | 52 | 15 | 28.8% | 7 |
| 2016 | 48 | 18 | 37.5% | 4 |
| 2015 | 41 | 12 | 29.3% | 11 |
| 2014 | 17 | 7 | 41.2% | 4 |
| 2013 | 20 | 6 | 30.0% | 9 |
| 2012 | 37 | 7 | 18.9% | 7 |
| 2011 | 41 | 14 | 34.2% | 5 |
| 2010 | 42 | 7 | 16.7% | 11 |
| 2009 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 9 |
| 2008 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 10 |
| 2007 | 19 | 5 | 26.3% | 10 |
| 2006 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 2005 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2004 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2003 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2002 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2001 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2000 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1999 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1998 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1997 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1996 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1994 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1993 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
Matches
all results ›
Upcoming fixtures
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, 18 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 18 Oct 16:00 |
İstanbul Başakşehir
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% |
|
| Mon, 26 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 26 Oct 16:00 |
Besiktas
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Sun, 01 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 01 Nov 13:00 |
İstanbul Başakşehir
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.3% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 07 Nov 16:00 |
Göztepe
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.4% |
|
| Mon, 23 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 23 Nov 17:00 |
İstanbul Başakşehir
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 19.6% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.