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ITL · UEFA Nations League
Upcoming fixtures
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, 13 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 13 Nov 19:45 | Bulgaria | vs | Iceland | – / – / – | 26.9% |
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| Mon, 16 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 16 Nov 17:00 | Estonia | vs | Bulgaria | – / – / – | 29.8% |
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Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.