What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 26 Oct 2024 → 11 Feb 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 16 | 15 Aug 2008 → 19 Dec 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 14 | 23 Aug 2020 → 13 Dec 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 14 | 26 Feb 2010 → 07 Aug 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 09 Mar 2013 → 26 May 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 10 | 01 May 2009 → 31 Aug 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 17 Aug 2024 → 06 Oct 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 03 May 2023 → 26 Aug 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 13 May 2012 → 29 Sep 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 31 Oct 2005 → 16 Jan 2006 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ligue 2 | 456 | 138 | 30.3% | 8 | 15 |
| Ligue 1 | 367 | 100 | 27.3% | 2 | 14 |
| Coupe de France | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 0 | 4 |
| UEFA Champions League | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 7 | 7 |
| Club Friendlies | 9 | 6 | 66.7% | 0 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 33 | 12 | 36.4% | 6 |
| 2025 | 44 | 9 | 20.5% | 11 |
| 2024 | 43 | 9 | 20.9% | 11 |
| 2023 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 9 |
| 2022 | 38 | 7 | 18.4% | 7 |
| 2021 | 43 | 14 | 32.6% | 7 |
| 2020 | 27 | 6 | 22.2% | 14 |
| 2019 | 39 | 14 | 35.9% | 8 |
| 2018 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 8 |
| 2017 | 39 | 7 | 18.0% | 8 |
| 2016 | 38 | 11 | 29.0% | 8 |
| 2015 | 45 | 15 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 2014 | 40 | 12 | 30.0% | 4 |
| 2013 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 11 |
| 2012 | 39 | 8 | 20.5% | 9 |
| 2011 | 40 | 19 | 47.5% | 5 |
| 2010 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 14 |
| 2009 | 43 | 11 | 25.6% | 10 |
| 2008 | 38 | 8 | 21.1% | 16 |
| 2007 | 37 | 11 | 29.7% | 6 |
| 2006 | 39 | 17 | 43.6% | 4 |
| 2005 | 38 | 16 | 42.1% | 7 |
| 2004 | 19 | 7 | 36.8% | 7 |
Over 468 matches (Jan 2015 – Nov 2026), Stade Brestois drew 127 where the draw model expected 130.0 from those particular fixtures — about 3 fewer, or 0.3 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 132.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.