Berwick Rangers
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 201 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2025), Berwick Rangers drew 40 where the draw model expected 43.2 from those particular fixtures — about 3 fewer, or 0.6 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 42.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 29 | 16 Sep 2006 → 31 Mar 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 20 | 28 Apr 2018 → 24 Nov 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 15 | 17 Aug 2002 → 23 Nov 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 15 | 14 Apr 2001 → 29 Sep 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 14 | 12 Mar 2019 → 19 Oct 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 14 | 01 Mar 2014 → 23 Aug 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 14 | 05 Mar 2013 → 17 Aug 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 13 | 25 Jul 2017 → 28 Oct 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 13 | 18 Oct 2008 → 24 Jan 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 12 Nov 2016 → 04 Feb 2017 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottish League Two | 576 | 140 | 24.3% | 9 | 26 |
| Scottish League One | 216 | 56 | 25.9% | 4 | 14 |
| Scottish Cup | 51 | 6 | 11.8% | 1 | 3 |
| Scottish League Cup | 36 | 3 | 8.3% | 4 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2024 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2023 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2022 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2021 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2020 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2019 | 24 | 2 | 8.3% | 14 |
| 2018 | 43 | 9 | 20.9% | 20 |
| 2017 | 40 | 8 | 20.0% | 13 |
| 2016 | 42 | 12 | 28.6% | 7 |
| 2015 | 44 | 9 | 20.5% | 9 |
| 2014 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 14 |
| 2013 | 43 | 8 | 18.6% | 14 |
| 2012 | 39 | 12 | 30.8% | 6 |
| 2011 | 44 | 11 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 2010 | 36 | 12 | 33.3% | 7 |
| 2009 | 37 | 7 | 18.9% | 7 |
| 2008 | 38 | 5 | 13.2% | 11 |
| 2007 | 40 | 6 | 15.0% | 15 |
| 2006 | 38 | 6 | 15.8% | 14 |
| 2005 | 40 | 8 | 20.0% | 11 |
| 2004 | 42 | 9 | 21.4% | 10 |
| 2003 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 5 |
| 2002 | 43 | 10 | 23.3% | 15 |
| 2001 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 15 |
| 2000 | 37 | 11 | 29.7% | 8 |
| 1999 | 35 | 10 | 28.6% | 7 |
| 1998 | 37 | 17 | 46.0% | 4 |
| 1997 | 18 | 4 | 22.2% | 5 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 03 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 03 Oct 14:00 |
Cowdenbeath
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 19.5% | SCO · Scottish Cup |
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.