Barcelona
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 2 Oct 2026.
Over 701 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Barcelona drew 122 where the draw model expected 130.4 from those particular fixtures — about 8 fewer, or 0.8 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 175.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 27 | 09 Nov 2025 → 07 Mar 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 24 | 16 Dec 2014 → 08 Apr 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 23 | 22 Oct 2005 → 04 Mar 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 22 | 06 Feb 2000 → 10 May 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 19 | 13 Apr 1997 → 28 Sep 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 17 | 17 Aug 2024 → 10 Nov 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 15 | 15 Mar 2026 → 24 Jul 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 15 | 27 Sep 2014 → 10 Dec 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 15 | 26 Oct 2013 → 08 Jan 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 14 | 08 Mar 2024 → 26 May 2024 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Liga | 1269 | 240 | 18.9% | 42 | 42 |
| UEFA Champions League | 376 | 83 | 22.1% | 1 | 13 |
| Copa del Rey | 139 | 28 | 20.1% | 5 | 9 |
| UEFA Europa League | 85 | 21 | 24.7% | 1 | 8 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 85 | 19 | 22.4% | 2 | 6 |
| Inter-Cities Fairs Cup | 58 | 13 | 22.4% | 4 | 6 |
| Club Friendlies | 36 | 8 | 22.2% | 3 | 5 |
| Supercopa de España | 25 | 8 | 32.0% | 2 | 2 |
| UEFA Super Cup | 14 | 6 | 42.9% | 0 | 2 |
| FIFA Club World Cup | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 2 | 2 |
| Intercontinental Cup (Toyota Cup) | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 45 | 2 | 4.4% | 17 |
| 2025 | 62 | 8 | 12.9% | 11 |
| 2024 | 57 | 8 | 14.0% | 17 |
| 2023 | 61 | 10 | 16.4% | 13 |
| 2022 | 56 | 14 | 25.0% | 9 |
| 2021 | 62 | 17 | 27.4% | 9 |
| 2020 | 50 | 9 | 18.0% | 11 |
| 2019 | 63 | 12 | 19.1% | 9 |
| 2018 | 58 | 14 | 24.1% | 9 |
| 2017 | 61 | 10 | 16.4% | 14 |
| 2016 | 60 | 9 | 15.0% | 10 |
| 2015 | 66 | 9 | 13.6% | 22 |
| 2014 | 56 | 9 | 16.1% | 15 |
| 2013 | 59 | 11 | 18.6% | 13 |
| 2012 | 63 | 9 | 14.3% | 12 |
| 2011 | 64 | 13 | 20.3% | 11 |
| 2010 | 56 | 9 | 16.1% | 13 |
| 2009 | 62 | 17 | 27.4% | 7 |
| 2008 | 60 | 15 | 25.0% | 11 |
| 2007 | 55 | 12 | 21.8% | 9 |
| 2006 | 54 | 12 | 22.2% | 11 |
| 2005 | 46 | 11 | 23.9% | 13 |
| 2004 | 44 | 7 | 15.9% | 9 |
| 2003 | 54 | 18 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 2002 | 53 | 11 | 20.8% | 7 |
| 2001 | 52 | 17 | 32.7% | 7 |
| 2000 | 57 | 10 | 17.5% | 22 |
| 1999 | 48 | 9 | 18.8% | 11 |
| 1998 | 44 | 11 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 1997 | 55 | 7 | 12.7% | 19 |
| 1996 | 45 | 15 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 1995 | 53 | 15 | 28.3% | 8 |
| 1994 | 49 | 10 | 20.4% | 11 |
| 1993 | 24 | 5 | 20.8% | 12 |
| 1992 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 4 |
| 1991 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 8 |
| 1990 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1989 | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 3 |
| 1988 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1987 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1986 | 13 | 4 | 30.8% | 6 |
| 1985 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1984 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1983 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 1982 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 3 |
| 1981 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1980 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1979 | 11 | 1 | 9.1% | 6 |
| 1978 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1977 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 3 |
| 1976 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 1975 | 13 | 2 | 15.4% | 8 |
| 1974 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1973 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1972 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1971 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1970 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1969 | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 7 |
| 1968 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1967 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1966 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1965 | 14 | 2 | 14.3% | 6 |
| 1964 | 7 | 4 | 57.1% | 3 |
| 1963 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1962 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 1961 | 14 | 3 | 21.4% | 5 |
| 1960 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1959 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 1957 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 16:30 |
Barcelona
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 13.1% |
|
| Tue, 13 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 13 Oct 19:00 |
Galatasaray SK
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 16.2% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 16:30 |
Real Betis
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.8% |
|
| Tue, 20 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 20 Oct 19:00 |
Paris Saint-Germain
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.8% |
|
| Sun, 25 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 25 Oct 20:00 |
Barcelona
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% |
|
| Sun, 01 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 01 Nov 20:00 |
Barcelona
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 11.1% |
|
| Tue, 03 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 03 Nov 20:00 |
Barcelona
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 17.3% |
|
| Sun, 08 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 08 Nov 20:00 |
Atlético Madrid
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.8% |
|
| Tue, 08 Dec 2026 | ||||||
| 08 Dec 20:00 |
Barcelona
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.8% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.