What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 1 Oct 2026.
Over 292 matches (Aug 1929 – Aug 2026), Bærum SK drew 52 where the draw model expected 55.2 from those particular fixtures — about 3 fewer, or 0.5 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 55.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 23 May 1994 → 02 Oct 1994 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 17 | 11 May 2014 → 31 Aug 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 17 | 28 Apr 2012 → 12 Aug 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 13 | 10 May 1992 → 02 Aug 1992 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 8 | 10 May 2015 → 21 Jun 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 14 Sep 2003 → 01 Nov 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 7 | 18 Jun 2003 → 10 Aug 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 09 May 1993 → 13 Jun 1993 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 26 Aug 2012 → 30 Sep 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 6 | 13 May 2003 → 09 Jun 2003 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. divisjon | 186 | 34 | 18.3% | 2 | 21 |
| Norwegian Football Cup | 106 | 18 | 17.0% | 1 | 4 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2025 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2024 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2023 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2022 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2021 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2019 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2018 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2017 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2016 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2015 | 33 | 8 | 24.2% | 8 |
| 2014 | 32 | 5 | 15.6% | 17 |
| 2013 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2012 | 32 | 7 | 21.9% | 17 |
| 2011 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2010 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2009 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2008 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2007 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2006 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2005 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2004 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2003 | 32 | 6 | 18.8% | 8 |
| 2002 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2001 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2000 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1999 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1998 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1997 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1996 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1995 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1994 | 25 | 2 | 8.0% | 20 |
| 1993 | 23 | 4 | 17.4% | 7 |
| 1992 | 24 | 5 | 20.8% | 13 |
| 1991 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1990 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1987 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1986 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1985 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1984 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1983 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1982 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1981 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1980 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1979 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1978 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1970 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1969 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1945 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1937 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1933 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1932 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1931 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1930 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1929 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, 01 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 01 Oct 16:00 |
Bærum SK
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 11.2% | NOR · Norwegian Football Cup |
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.