AJ Auxerre
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 5 Oct 2026.
Over 453 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), AJ Auxerre drew 132 where the draw model expected 132.1 from those particular fixtures — about 0 fewer, or 0.0 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 133.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 14 Mar 1997 → 05 Sep 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 15 | 08 Mar 2009 → 22 Aug 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 15 | 05 May 2007 → 20 Oct 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 15 | 25 Oct 2003 → 15 Feb 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 14 | 06 Aug 2005 → 30 Oct 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 21 Apr 2012 → 31 Aug 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 19 Oct 2002 → 01 Dec 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 11 | 17 Feb 2018 → 27 Apr 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 18 Sep 1999 → 01 Dec 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 16 Sep 1995 → 25 Nov 1995 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ligue 1 | 813 | 228 | 28.0% | 9 | 23 |
| Ligue 2 | 408 | 124 | 30.4% | 1 | 11 |
| UEFA Europa League | 78 | 17 | 21.8% | 2 | 6 |
| Coupe de France | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 1 | 4 |
| UEFA Champions League | 24 | 2 | 8.3% | 8 | 8 |
| Club Friendlies | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 2 | 2 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 1 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 29 | 10 | 34.5% | 7 |
| 2025 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 10 |
| 2024 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 9 |
| 2023 | 44 | 13 | 29.5% | 5 |
| 2022 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 6 |
| 2021 | 42 | 16 | 38.1% | 5 |
| 2020 | 26 | 6 | 23.1% | 8 |
| 2019 | 38 | 14 | 36.8% | 7 |
| 2018 | 41 | 9 | 22.0% | 11 |
| 2017 | 41 | 9 | 22.0% | 7 |
| 2016 | 38 | 13 | 34.2% | 8 |
| 2015 | 45 | 14 | 31.1% | 10 |
| 2014 | 42 | 15 | 35.7% | 7 |
| 2013 | 38 | 13 | 34.2% | 8 |
| 2012 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 12 |
| 2011 | 39 | 15 | 38.5% | 9 |
| 2010 | 50 | 19 | 38.0% | 7 |
| 2009 | 39 | 8 | 20.5% | 15 |
| 2008 | 40 | 11 | 27.5% | 8 |
| 2007 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 15 |
| 2006 | 46 | 15 | 32.6% | 8 |
| 2005 | 42 | 7 | 16.7% | 14 |
| 2004 | 48 | 14 | 29.2% | 5 |
| 2003 | 47 | 10 | 21.3% | 10 |
| 2002 | 46 | 12 | 26.1% | 12 |
| 2001 | 30 | 9 | 30.0% | 6 |
| 2000 | 36 | 9 | 25.0% | 8 |
| 1999 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 11 |
| 1998 | 33 | 12 | 36.4% | 4 |
| 1997 | 46 | 7 | 15.2% | 18 |
| 1996 | 45 | 11 | 24.4% | 8 |
| 1995 | 45 | 12 | 26.7% | 11 |
| 1994 | 41 | 17 | 41.5% | 6 |
| 1993 | 24 | 6 | 25.0% | 9 |
| 1992 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 5 |
| 1991 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1989 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 6 |
| 1987 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1985 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1984 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, 11 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 11 Oct 15:15 |
Stade Rennais
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% |
|
| Sun, 18 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 18 Oct 15:15 |
Le Havre AC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.7% |
|
| Sun, 25 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 25 Oct 16:15 |
AJ Auxerre
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Sun, 01 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 01 Nov 14:00 |
RC Strasbourg
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.7% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 07 Nov 16:15 |
AJ Auxerre
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.6% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.