What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 16 May 2026 → 17 Oct 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 15 | 05 Nov 2020 → 16 Jan 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 14 | 01 Mar 2009 → 30 May 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 13 | 27 Aug 2022 → 13 Nov 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 23 Apr 2006 → 17 Sep 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 18 May 2021 → 04 Oct 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 07 Mar 2025 → 18 May 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 11 | 24 Sep 2013 → 08 Dec 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 12 May 2012 → 15 Sep 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 30 May 2004 → 10 Oct 2004 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Segunda División | 722 | 204 | 28.2% | 0 | 13 |
| La Liga | 304 | 76 | 25.0% | 1 | 14 |
| Copa del Rey | 57 | 12 | 21.1% | 2 | 8 |
| Club Friendlies | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 38 | 5 | 13.2% | 16 |
| 2025 | 45 | 11 | 24.4% | 11 |
| 2024 | 43 | 13 | 30.2% | 7 |
| 2023 | 43 | 11 | 25.6% | 9 |
| 2022 | 39 | 8 | 20.5% | 13 |
| 2021 | 50 | 13 | 26.0% | 12 |
| 2020 | 42 | 6 | 14.3% | 12 |
| 2019 | 45 | 18 | 40.0% | 7 |
| 2018 | 45 | 16 | 35.6% | 9 |
| 2017 | 44 | 7 | 15.9% | 10 |
| 2016 | 44 | 16 | 36.4% | 6 |
| 2015 | 46 | 14 | 30.4% | 7 |
| 2014 | 41 | 8 | 19.5% | 7 |
| 2013 | 42 | 9 | 21.4% | 11 |
| 2012 | 45 | 13 | 28.9% | 11 |
| 2011 | 47 | 13 | 27.7% | 7 |
| 2010 | 42 | 15 | 35.7% | 4 |
| 2009 | 41 | 8 | 19.5% | 14 |
| 2008 | 40 | 11 | 27.5% | 6 |
| 2007 | 42 | 8 | 19.1% | 10 |
| 2006 | 43 | 8 | 18.6% | 13 |
| 2005 | 42 | 10 | 23.8% | 5 |
| 2004 | 43 | 15 | 34.9% | 11 |
| 2003 | 43 | 15 | 34.9% | 8 |
| 2002 | 16 | 7 | 43.8% | 3 |
| 1997 | 22 | 7 | 31.8% | 8 |
| 1996 | 16 | 7 | 43.8% | 3 |
Over 524 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), UD Almería drew 138 where the draw model expected 148.3 from those particular fixtures — about 10 fewer, or 1.0 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 151.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.