What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 21 Dec 2022 → 20 Jul 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 5 | 28 Jul 2026 → 09 Sep 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 5 | 30 Jul 2025 → 28 Oct 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 5 | 27 Oct 2020 → 04 Apr 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 5 | 23 Apr 2012 → 18 May 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 4 | 09 Oct 2026 → 29 Oct 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 4 | 09 Nov 2019 → 17 Jan 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 4 | 03 Jan 2019 → 01 Apr 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 4 | 20 Jan 2016 → 30 Apr 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 4 | 23 Feb 1987 → 13 Mar 1987 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| King's Cup | 114 | 19 | 16.7% | 2 | 5 |
| Club Friendlies | 18 | 4 | 22.2% | 3 | 4 |
| Saudi Pro League | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 | 4 |
| FIFA Club World Cup | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 5 |
| 2025 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 2024 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 2 |
| 2023 | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 6 |
| 2022 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2021 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2020 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2019 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 4 |
| 2018 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2017 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2016 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 2015 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 2014 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2013 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2012 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 2011 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2010 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 2009 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2008 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2000 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1990 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1989 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1988 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1987 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1986 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1985 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1984 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1983 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1982 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1981 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1980 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1979 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1978 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1977 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1976 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
Over 142 matches (May 1976 – Oct 2026), Al Nassr drew 24 where the draw model expected 28.1 from those particular fixtures — about 4 fewer, or 0.9 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 28.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.