What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 30 Sep 2026.
Over 302 matches (Feb 2015 – Jul 2026), FC Admira Wacker Mödling drew 82 where the draw model expected 71.1 from those particular fixtures — about 11 more, or 1.5 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 73.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 18 Nov 2017 → 28 Apr 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 17 | 17 Jul 2016 → 01 Oct 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 16 | 26 Apr 2017 → 16 Sep 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 11 | 02 May 1989 → 06 Mar 1990 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 22 Oct 2016 → 10 Dec 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 24 Oct 2020 → 19 Dec 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 20 May 2018 → 25 Aug 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 25 Nov 2012 → 09 Mar 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 7 | 19 Apr 2016 → 19 May 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 27 Feb 2016 → 10 Apr 2016 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bundesliga | 344 | 94 | 27.3% | 2 | 18 |
| Austrian Cup | 243 | 52 | 21.4% | 1 | 10 |
| UEFA Europa League | 34 | 6 | 17.7% | 2 | 5 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 3 | 5 |
| Club Friendlies | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 4 | 4 |
| UEFA Champions League | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 0 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 5 |
| 2025 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 2024 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2023 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2022 | 18 | 6 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 2021 | 40 | 15 | 37.5% | 5 |
| 2020 | 28 | 7 | 25.0% | 8 |
| 2019 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 6 |
| 2018 | 37 | 7 | 18.9% | 12 |
| 2017 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 16 |
| 2016 | 48 | 6 | 12.5% | 17 |
| 2015 | 40 | 17 | 42.5% | 6 |
| 2014 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 6 |
| 2013 | 40 | 8 | 20.0% | 7 |
| 2012 | 26 | 8 | 30.8% | 5 |
| 2011 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2010 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2009 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 2008 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2006 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2005 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2004 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2003 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2002 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2001 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 2000 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1999 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1998 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% | 1 |
| 1997 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1996 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1995 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 7 |
| 1994 | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 6 |
| 1993 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 6 |
| 1992 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 6 |
| 1991 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1990 | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 6 |
| 1989 | 13 | 3 | 23.1% | 10 |
| 1988 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 1987 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 1986 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1985 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 3 |
| 1984 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1983 | 7 | 4 | 57.1% | 2 |
| 1982 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1981 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1980 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1979 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1978 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1977 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1976 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1975 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1974 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1973 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1972 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1971 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1970 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1969 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1968 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1967 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1966 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1965 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1964 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 4 |
| 1963 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1962 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1961 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1960 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1959 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1946 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1932 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1929 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1921 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1920 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1918 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, 02 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 02 Oct 09:00 |
FC Admira Wacker Mödling
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 21.9% | ITL · Club Friendlies |
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.