Celtic

A run of consecutive matches without a draw.

non-draws in a row

22 Aug 2001 → 30 Jan 2002

Was this a feat, or a coincidence? how this is worked out ›

Draws the model expected 6.5 across these 35 fixtures, one chance each

A flat league rate expected 8.5 the same question, asked without knowing the fixtures

Chance of no draw at all 1 in 1,370 for this run alone — and that overstates it

Runs this long, expected anywhere 12.70 across every run in the database

Each match gets its own draw chance from the five-feature logistic draw model, recalibrated by its isotonic map, and the run's own probability is those chances multiplied — the Poisson-binomial reading. A binomial at the run's average chance would have called it 1.09× more likely, which is the direction that error always goes. The last tile is the figure to quote: a run picked out because it is long is not a coincidence you get to be surprised by — why that is, and what the same question says about every other record here. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

Matches in this run

Date	Home	Score	Away	R	Tournament
the draw before the run
18 Aug 2001	Livingston	0–0	Celtic	D	SCO · Scottish Premiership
☆ 22 Aug 2001 · ITL · UEFA Champions League Celtic 0–1 Ajax ☆ 25 Aug 2001 · SCO · Scottish Premiership Hibernian 1–4 Celtic ☆ 08 Sep 2001 · SCO · Scottish Premiership Celtic 3–1 Dunfermline Athletic ☆ 15 Sep 2001 · SCO · Scottish Premiership Dundee 0–4 Celtic ☆ 18 Sep 2001 · ITL · UEFA Champions League Juventus 3–2 Celtic ☆ 20 Sep 2001 · ITL · UEFA Europa League Valencia CF 1–0 Celtic ☆ 22 Sep 2001 · SCO · Scottish Premiership Celtic 2–0 Aberdeen ☆ 25 Sep 2001 · ITL · UEFA Champions League Celtic 1–0 Porto ☆ 30 Sep 2001 · SCO · Scottish Premiership Rangers 0–2 Celtic ☆ 04 Oct 2001 · ITL · UEFA Europa League Celtic 4–5 (ft:1–0) Valencia CF ☆ 10 Oct 2001 · ITL · UEFA Champions League Celtic 1–0 Rosenborg BK ☆ 13 Oct 2001 · SCO · Scottish Premiership Motherwell 1–2 Celtic ☆ 17 Oct 2001 · ITL · UEFA Champions League Porto 3–0 Celtic ☆ 20 Oct 2001 · SCO · Scottish Premiership Celtic 5–1 Dundee United ☆ 23 Oct 2001 · ITL · UEFA Champions League Rosenborg BK 2–0 Celtic ☆ 27 Oct 2001 · SCO · Scottish Premiership Celtic 1–0 Kilmarnock ☆ 31 Oct 2001 · ITL · UEFA Champions League Celtic 4–3 Juventus ☆ 03 Nov 2001 · SCO · Scottish Premiership St Johnstone 1–2 Celtic ☆ 06 Nov 2001 · SCO · Scottish League Cup Celtic 8–0 Stirling Albion ☆ 17 Nov 2001 · SCO · Scottish Premiership Heart of Midlothian 0–1 Celtic ☆ 25 Nov 2001 · SCO · Scottish Premiership Celtic 2–1 Rangers ☆ 01 Dec 2001 · SCO · Scottish Premiership Celtic 3–0 Hibernian ☆ 09 Dec 2001 · SCO · Scottish Premiership Dunfermline Athletic 0–4 Celtic ☆ 15 Dec 2001 · SCO · Scottish Premiership Celtic 3–1 Dundee ☆ 19 Dec 2001 · SCO · Scottish League Cup Livingston 0–2 Celtic ☆ 22 Dec 2001 · SCO · Scottish Premiership Aberdeen 2–0 Celtic ☆ 26 Dec 2001 · SCO · Scottish Premiership Celtic 3–2 Livingston ☆ 29 Dec 2001 · SCO · Scottish Premiership Dundee United 0–4 Celtic ☆ 02 Jan 2002 · SCO · Scottish Premiership Celtic 2–0 Motherwell ☆ 08 Jan 2002 · SCO · Scottish Cup Alloa Athletic 0–5 Celtic ☆ 12 Jan 2002 · SCO · Scottish Premiership Kilmarnock 0–2 Celtic ☆ 19 Jan 2002 · SCO · Scottish Premiership Celtic 2–1 St Johnstone ☆ 23 Jan 2002 · SCO · Scottish Premiership Celtic 2–0 Heart of Midlothian ☆ 26 Jan 2002 · SCO · Scottish Cup Kilmarnock 0–2 Celtic ☆ 30 Jan 2002 · SCO · Scottish Premiership Livingston 1–3 Celtic
☆ 22 Aug 2001	Celtic	0–1	Ajax	A	ITL · UEFA Champions League Qualifying · Leg 2
☆ 25 Aug 2001	Hibernian	1–4	Celtic	A	SCO · Scottish Premiership
☆ 08 Sep 2001	Celtic	3–1	Dunfermline Athletic	H	SCO · Scottish Premiership
☆ 15 Sep 2001	Dundee	0–4	Celtic	A	SCO · Scottish Premiership
☆ 18 Sep 2001	Juventus	3–2	Celtic	H	ITL · UEFA Champions League Group stage
☆ 20 Sep 2001	Valencia CF	1–0	Celtic	H	ITL · UEFA Europa League
☆ 22 Sep 2001	Celtic	2–0	Aberdeen	H	SCO · Scottish Premiership
☆ 25 Sep 2001	Celtic	1–0	Porto	H	ITL · UEFA Champions League Group stage
☆ 30 Sep 2001	Rangers	0–2	Celtic	A	SCO · Scottish Premiership
☆ 04 Oct 2001	Celtic	4–5(ft:1–0)	Valencia CF	H	ITL · UEFA Europa League
☆ 10 Oct 2001	Celtic	1–0	Rosenborg BK	H	ITL · UEFA Champions League Group stage
☆ 13 Oct 2001	Motherwell	1–2	Celtic	A	SCO · Scottish Premiership
☆ 17 Oct 2001	Porto	3–0	Celtic	H	ITL · UEFA Champions League Group stage
☆ 20 Oct 2001	Celtic	5–1	Dundee United	H	SCO · Scottish Premiership
☆ 23 Oct 2001	Rosenborg BK	2–0	Celtic	H	ITL · UEFA Champions League Group stage
☆ 27 Oct 2001	Celtic	1–0	Kilmarnock	H	SCO · Scottish Premiership
☆ 31 Oct 2001	Celtic	4–3	Juventus	H	ITL · UEFA Champions League Group stage
☆ 03 Nov 2001	St Johnstone	1–2	Celtic	A	SCO · Scottish Premiership
☆ 06 Nov 2001	Celtic	8–0	Stirling Albion	H	SCO · Scottish League Cup
☆ 17 Nov 2001	Heart of Midlothian	0–1	Celtic	A	SCO · Scottish Premiership
☆ 25 Nov 2001	Celtic	2–1	Rangers	H	SCO · Scottish Premiership
☆ 01 Dec 2001	Celtic	3–0	Hibernian	H	SCO · Scottish Premiership
☆ 09 Dec 2001	Dunfermline Athletic	0–4	Celtic	A	SCO · Scottish Premiership
☆ 15 Dec 2001	Celtic	3–1	Dundee	H	SCO · Scottish Premiership
☆ 19 Dec 2001	Livingston	0–2	Celtic	A	SCO · Scottish League Cup Quarter-final
☆ 22 Dec 2001	Aberdeen	2–0	Celtic	H	SCO · Scottish Premiership
☆ 26 Dec 2001	Celtic	3–2	Livingston	H	SCO · Scottish Premiership
☆ 29 Dec 2001	Dundee United	0–4	Celtic	A	SCO · Scottish Premiership
☆ 02 Jan 2002	Celtic	2–0	Motherwell	H	SCO · Scottish Premiership
☆ 08 Jan 2002	Alloa Athletic	0–5	Celtic	A	SCO · Scottish Cup
☆ 12 Jan 2002	Kilmarnock	0–2	Celtic	A	SCO · Scottish Premiership
☆ 19 Jan 2002	Celtic	2–1	St Johnstone	H	SCO · Scottish Premiership
☆ 23 Jan 2002	Celtic	2–0	Heart of Midlothian	H	SCO · Scottish Premiership
☆ 26 Jan 2002	Kilmarnock	0–2	Celtic	A	SCO · Scottish Cup
☆ 30 Jan 2002	Livingston	1–3	Celtic	A	SCO · Scottish Premiership
the draw that ended it
02 Feb 2002	Hibernian	1–1	Celtic	D	SCO · Scottish Premiership