▦ FDB4
No-draw streak ‹ back to records
SCO · Club

Celtic

A run of consecutive matches without a draw.
31
non-draws in a row
03 Apr 1999 → 18 Dec 1999
Was this a feat, or a coincidence? how this is worked out ›
Draws the model expected 6.0 across these 31 fixtures, one chance each
A flat league rate expected 7.5 the same question, asked without knowing the fixtures
Chance of no draw at all 1 in 830 for this run alone — and that overstates it
Runs this long, expected anywhere 34.40 across every run in the database

Each match gets its own draw chance from the five-feature logistic draw model, recalibrated by its isotonic map, and the run's own probability is those chances multiplied — the Poisson-binomial reading. A binomial at the run's average chance would have called it 1.09× more likely, which is the direction that error always goes. The last tile is the figure to quote: a run picked out because it is long is not a coincidence you get to be surprised by — why that is, and what the same question says about every other record here. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

Matches in this run
Date Home Score Away R Tournament
the draw before the run
21 Mar 1999 Kilmarnock 0–0 Celtic D SCO · Scottish Premiership
☆ 03 Apr 1999 Celtic 5–0 Dundee H SCO · Scottish Premiership
☆ 14 Apr 1999 Heart of Midlothian 2–4 Celtic A SCO · Scottish Premiership
☆ 17 Apr 1999 Celtic 1–0 Motherwell H SCO · Scottish Premiership
☆ 24 Apr 1999 St Johnstone 1–0 Celtic H SCO · Scottish Premiership
☆ 02 May 1999 Celtic 0–3 Rangers A SCO · Scottish Premiership
☆ 08 May 1999 Dunfermline Athletic 1–2 Celtic A SCO · Scottish Premiership
☆ 15 May 1999 Celtic 3–2 Aberdeen H SCO · Scottish Premiership
☆ 23 May 1999 Dundee United 1–2 Celtic A SCO · Scottish Premiership
☆ 15 Jul 1999 Cwmbrân Town 0–6 Celtic A ITL · UEFA Europa League Qualifying
☆ 29 Jul 1999 Celtic 4–0 Cwmbrân Town H ITL · UEFA Europa League Qualifying
☆ 01 Aug 1999 Aberdeen 0–5 Celtic A SCO · Scottish Premiership
☆ 05 Aug 1999 Celtic 2–0 Hapoel Tel Aviv H ITL · UEFA Europa League
☆ 07 Aug 1999 Celtic 3–0 St Johnstone H SCO · Scottish Premiership
☆ 15 Aug 1999 Dundee United 2–1 Celtic H SCO · Scottish Premiership
☆ 19 Aug 1999 Hapoel Tel Aviv 0–1 Celtic A ITL · UEFA Europa League
☆ 21 Aug 1999 Dundee 1–2 Celtic A SCO · Scottish Premiership
☆ 25 Aug 1999 Olympique Lyonnais 1–0 Celtic H ITL · UEFA Europa League
☆ 29 Aug 1999 Celtic 4–0 Heart of Midlothian H SCO · Scottish Premiership
☆ 09 Sep 1999 Celtic 0–1 Olympique Lyonnais A ITL · UEFA Europa League
☆ 12 Sep 1999 Kilmarnock 0–1 Celtic A SCO · Scottish Premiership
☆ 25 Sep 1999 Hibernian 0–2 Celtic A SCO · Scottish Premiership
☆ 16 Oct 1999 Celtic 7–0 Aberdeen H SCO · Scottish Premiership
☆ 24 Oct 1999 St Johnstone 1–2 Celtic A SCO · Scottish Premiership
☆ 27 Oct 1999 Celtic 0–1 Motherwell A SCO · Scottish Premiership
☆ 30 Oct 1999 Celtic 5–1 Kilmarnock H SCO · Scottish Premiership
☆ 07 Nov 1999 Rangers 4–2 Celtic H SCO · Scottish Premiership
☆ 20 Nov 1999 Heart of Midlothian 1–2 Celtic A SCO · Scottish Premiership
☆ 28 Nov 1999 Motherwell 3–2 Celtic H SCO · Scottish Premiership
☆ 04 Dec 1999 Celtic 4–0 Hibernian H SCO · Scottish Premiership
☆ 11 Dec 1999 Aberdeen 0–6 Celtic A SCO · Scottish Premiership
☆ 18 Dec 1999 Celtic 4–1 Dundee United H SCO · Scottish Premiership
the draw that ended it
27 Dec 1999 Celtic 1–1 Rangers D SCO · Scottish Premiership

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