| Figure | St Patrick's Athletic | Bohemian | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|
| N — no-draw runmatches in a row without a draw | 0 | 4 | matches in a row without a draw |
| Max Nthis team's longest run ever | 29 | 21 | this team's longest run ever |
| E — draw debtexpected draws over the current run | 0.00 | 1.04 | expected draws over the current run |
| p50 — last 50draw rate over its last 50 matches | 32.0% | 26.0% | draw rate over its last 50 matches |
| p100 — last 100draw rate over its last 100 matches | 28.0% | 26.0% | draw rate over its last 100 matches |
| Draw % — all timeshare of every match drawn | 23.6% | 24.3% | share of every match drawn |
| Σ Nboth sides' runs added | 4 | both sides' runs added | |
| Σ Eboth sides' draw debt added | 1.04 | both sides' draw debt added | |
These are the figures that held before kick-off: each side's record over every match it had played before 30 Oct 2026, computed exactly as the predictor computes today's. Draw score and rank are left out: both place a team against the whole field, and the field can only be scored as it stands now.
No prediction stored for this match.
A forecast from every match played so far. Measured over 160,869 priced matches the goals model is slightly worse than the bookmakers (how it is scored), so a high draw chance means an even, low-scoring match rather than value. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.
This edition’s latest indexed table, not the standings before this match. Both teams are highlighted.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers Champion | 35 | 20 | 8 | 7 | 58 | 35 | +23 | 68 |
| 2 | Bohemian | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 60 | 42 | +18 | 62 |
| 3 | St Patrick's Athletic | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 53 | 28 | +25 | 60 |
| 4 | Shelbourne | 35 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 50 | 47 | +3 | 49 |
| 5 | Derry City | 35 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 48 | 45 | +3 | 47 |
| 6 | Galway United | 35 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 42 |
| 7 | Dundalk | 35 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 42 |
| 8 | Waterford | 35 | 9 | 13 | 13 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 40 |
| 9 | Drogheda United | 35 | 9 | 10 | 16 | 42 | 57 | -15 | 37 |
| 10 | Sligo Rovers | 35 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 26 | 64 | -38 | 24 |