| Figure | Chapecoense | Atlético Mineiro | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|
| N — no-draw runmatches in a row without a draw | 4 | 0 | matches in a row without a draw |
| Max Nthis team's longest run ever | 12 | 9 | this team's longest run ever |
| E — draw debtexpected draws over the current run | 1.30 | 0.00 | expected draws over the current run |
| p50 — last 50draw rate over its last 50 matches | 36.0% | 32.0% | draw rate over its last 50 matches |
| p100 — last 100draw rate over its last 100 matches | 30.0% | 25.0% | draw rate over its last 100 matches |
| Draw % — all timeshare of every match drawn | 29.6% | 27.5% | share of every match drawn |
| Σ Nboth sides' runs added | 4 | both sides' runs added | |
| Σ Eboth sides' draw debt added | 1.30 | both sides' draw debt added | |
These are the figures that held before kick-off: each side's record over every match it had played before 11 Dec 2016, computed exactly as the predictor computes today's. Draw score and rank are left out: both place a team against the whole field, and the field can only be scored as it stands now.
No prediction stored for this match.
A forecast from every match played so far. Measured over 160,869 priced matches the goals model is slightly worse than the bookmakers (how it is scored), so a high draw chance means an even, low-scoring match rather than value. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.