| Figure | Chapecoense | Vasco da Gama | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|
| N — no-draw runmatches in a row without a draw | 6 | 6 | matches in a row without a draw |
| Max Nthis team's longest run ever | 14 | 17 | this team's longest run ever |
| E — draw debtexpected draws over the current run | 1.62 | 1.36 | expected draws over the current run |
| p50 — last 50draw rate over its last 50 matches | 24.0% | 22.0% | draw rate over its last 50 matches |
| p100 — last 100draw rate over its last 100 matches | 29.0% | 23.0% | draw rate over its last 100 matches |
| Draw % — all timeshare of every match drawn | 28.5% | 28.2% | share of every match drawn |
| Σ Nboth sides' runs added | 12 | both sides' runs added | |
| Σ Eboth sides' draw debt added | 2.98 | both sides' draw debt added | |
These are the figures that held before kick-off: each side's record over every match it had played before 14 Nov 2026, computed exactly as the predictor computes today's. Draw score and rank are left out: both place a team against the whole field, and the field can only be scored as it stands now.
No prediction stored for this match.
A forecast from every match played so far. Measured over 160,869 priced matches the goals model is slightly worse than the bookmakers (how it is scored), so a high draw chance means an even, low-scoring match rather than value. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.
This edition’s latest indexed table, not the standings before this match. Both teams are highlighted.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo (RJ) | 34 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 71 | 29 | +42 | 76 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 34 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 62 | 23 | +39 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 48 | +7 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 55 | 42 | +13 | 57 |
| 5 | Athletico Paranaense | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 51 | 43 | +8 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 50 | 45 | +5 | 53 |
| 7 | Atlético Mineiro | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 44 | 40 | +4 | 50 |
| 8 | Red Bull Bragantino | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 44 | 39 | +5 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 50 | 49 | +1 | 47 |
| 10 | São Paulo | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo (RJ) | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 42 |
| 13 | Vasco da Gama | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 50 | -7 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 40 |
| 15 | Internacional | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 38 |
| 16 | EC Vitória | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 38 |
| 17 | Corinthians | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 42 | -6 | 37 |
| 18 | Grêmio | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 37 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 37 | 57 | -20 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 33 | 68 | -35 | 21 |