FC Zorya Luhansk
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 397 matches (Jul 2015 – Sep 2026), FC Zorya Luhansk drew 95 where the draw model expected 99.2 from those particular fixtures — about 4 fewer, or 0.5 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 98.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 05 Mar 2023 → 13 Aug 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 17 | 19 May 2024 → 10 Nov 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 17 | 26 Nov 2020 → 17 Apr 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 14 | 10 Nov 2019 → 21 Jun 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 18 Mar 2018 → 28 Jul 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 04 Oct 2015 → 05 Dec 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 16 Sep 2021 → 24 Oct 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 16 Mar 2019 → 04 May 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 7 | 23 May 2026 → 31 Aug 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 31 Oct 2021 → 05 Dec 2021 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 326 | 78 | 23.9% | 1 | 20 |
| Ukrainian Cup | 74 | 18 | 24.3% | 2 | 4 |
| UEFA Europa League | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 6 | 6 |
| UEFA Conference League | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 5 | 5 |
| UEFA Champions League | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 25 | 7 | 28.0% | 7 |
| 2025 | 31 | 8 | 25.8% | 6 |
| 2024 | 34 | 6 | 17.7% | 17 |
| 2023 | 37 | 7 | 18.9% | 18 |
| 2022 | 15 | 4 | 26.7% | 6 |
| 2021 | 42 | 7 | 16.7% | 10 |
| 2020 | 33 | 8 | 24.2% | 9 |
| 2019 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 8 |
| 2018 | 36 | 12 | 33.3% | 11 |
| 2017 | 40 | 12 | 30.0% | 6 |
| 2016 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 2015 | 23 | 4 | 17.4% | 9 |
| 2014 | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 3 |
| 2013 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2012 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2011 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2010 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2009 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2008 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2007 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2006 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2004 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2003 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2002 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2001 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1998 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1997 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1996 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1994 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1993 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1992 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1973 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.