What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 05 Mar 2023 → 13 Aug 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 17 | 19 May 2024 → 10 Nov 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 17 | 26 Nov 2020 → 17 Apr 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 14 | 10 Nov 2019 → 21 Jun 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 18 Mar 2018 → 28 Jul 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 04 Oct 2015 → 05 Dec 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 16 Sep 2021 → 24 Oct 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 16 Mar 2019 → 04 May 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 7 | 23 May 2026 → 31 Aug 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 31 Oct 2021 → 05 Dec 2021 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 330 | 79 | 23.9% | 1 | 20 |
| Ukrainian Cup | 75 | 19 | 25.3% | 0 | 4 |
| UEFA Europa League | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 6 | 6 |
| UEFA Conference League | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 5 | 5 |
| UEFA Champions League | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 31 | 9 | 29.0% | 7 |
| 2025 | 31 | 8 | 25.8% | 6 |
| 2024 | 34 | 6 | 17.7% | 17 |
| 2023 | 37 | 7 | 18.9% | 18 |
| 2022 | 15 | 4 | 26.7% | 6 |
| 2021 | 42 | 7 | 16.7% | 10 |
| 2020 | 33 | 8 | 24.2% | 9 |
| 2019 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 8 |
| 2018 | 36 | 12 | 33.3% | 11 |
| 2017 | 40 | 12 | 30.0% | 6 |
| 2016 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 2015 | 23 | 4 | 17.4% | 9 |
| 2014 | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 3 |
| 2013 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2012 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2011 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2010 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2009 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2008 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2007 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2006 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2004 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2003 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2002 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2001 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1998 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1997 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1996 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1994 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1993 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1992 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1973 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
Over 403 matches (Jul 2015 – Nov 2026), FC Zorya Luhansk drew 97 where the draw model expected 100.5 from those particular fixtures — about 4 fewer, or 0.4 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 99.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.