Wisła Płock
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 1 Oct 2026.
Over 304 matches (Jul 2015 – Sep 2026), Wisła Płock drew 72 where the draw model expected 83.1 from those particular fixtures — about 11 fewer, or 1.4 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 81.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 13 Feb 2022 → 08 Aug 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 15 | 01 Feb 2026 → 16 May 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 13 | 26 Jul 2019 → 27 Oct 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 11 | 16 Sep 2017 → 10 Dec 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 29 Oct 2022 → 08 Mar 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 15 Mar 2019 → 28 Apr 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 7 | 07 Dec 2020 → 28 Feb 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 23 Jun 2020 → 15 Aug 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 7 | 16 Dec 2017 → 10 Mar 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 18 May 2005 → 22 Nov 2005 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ekstraklasa | 288 | 68 | 23.6% | 2 | 18 |
| Polish Cup | 103 | 24 | 23.3% | 0 | 7 |
| UEFA Europa League | 6 | 4 | 66.7% | 0 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 24 | 3 | 12.5% | 15 |
| 2025 | 19 | 10 | 52.6% | 4 |
| 2024 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2023 | 18 | 3 | 16.7% | 6 |
| 2022 | 34 | 5 | 14.7% | 18 |
| 2021 | 36 | 8 | 22.2% | 6 |
| 2020 | 33 | 11 | 33.3% | 7 |
| 2019 | 39 | 7 | 18.0% | 13 |
| 2018 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 6 |
| 2017 | 39 | 8 | 20.5% | 11 |
| 2016 | 21 | 6 | 28.6% | 4 |
| 2015 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2014 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2013 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2012 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2011 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2010 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2009 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2008 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2007 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2006 | 8 | 4 | 50.0% | 3 |
| 2005 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 2003 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 2002 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 3 |
| 2001 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 2000 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1999 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1998 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1997 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1996 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1995 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1994 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1993 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1992 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1990 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1989 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1987 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1985 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1984 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1983 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, 02 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 02 Oct 10:00 |
Wisła Płock
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% | ITL · Club Friendlies |
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.