What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 25 Sep 2004 → 29 Jan 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 22 Apr 2001 → 29 Sep 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 13 | 09 Nov 2002 → 22 Feb 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 12 | 18 Dec 2010 → 12 Mar 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 23 Oct 2011 → 14 Jan 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 08 Mar 2009 → 01 Aug 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 21 Dec 2005 → 11 Mar 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 10 | 09 Feb 2008 → 12 Apr 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 10 | 05 May 2002 → 26 Oct 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 24 Jul 2022 → 17 Sep 2022 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belgian Pro League | 748 | 192 | 25.7% | 1 | 14 |
| Belgian Cup | 116 | 18 | 15.5% | 1 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 1 | 3 |
| UEFA Europa League | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 7 |
| 2025 | 42 | 13 | 31.0% | 8 |
| 2024 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 6 |
| 2023 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 6 |
| 2022 | 21 | 4 | 19.1% | 9 |
| 2021 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2019 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2018 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2017 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 4 |
| 2016 | 31 | 8 | 25.8% | 9 |
| 2015 | 33 | 9 | 27.3% | 8 |
| 2014 | 23 | 8 | 34.8% | 5 |
| 2013 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 2012 | 15 | 2 | 13.3% | 9 |
| 2011 | 39 | 8 | 20.5% | 10 |
| 2010 | 34 | 11 | 32.4% | 6 |
| 2009 | 39 | 8 | 20.5% | 11 |
| 2008 | 36 | 8 | 22.2% | 10 |
| 2007 | 35 | 11 | 31.4% | 6 |
| 2006 | 36 | 6 | 16.7% | 10 |
| 2005 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 6 |
| 2004 | 35 | 6 | 17.1% | 12 |
| 2003 | 35 | 10 | 28.6% | 8 |
| 2002 | 35 | 7 | 20.0% | 10 |
| 2001 | 41 | 8 | 19.5% | 14 |
| 2000 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 9 |
| 1999 | 36 | 9 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 1998 | 37 | 13 | 35.1% | 9 |
| 1997 | 18 | 5 | 27.8% | 4 |
| 1996 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1982 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1981 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1980 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1979 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1978 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1977 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1976 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1975 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1974 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1973 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1972 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1971 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1970 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1969 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1968 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1967 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1966 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1965 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1964 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
Over 261 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), KVC Westerlo drew 69 where the draw model expected 58.7 from those particular fixtures — about 10 more, or 1.5 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 62.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.