What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 1 Oct 2026.
Over 289 matches (Jul 2015 – Sep 2026), Viborg FF drew 81 where the draw model expected 71.4 from those particular fixtures — about 10 more, or 1.3 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 71.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 08 May 2025 → 19 Oct 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 16 Aug 2015 → 08 Nov 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 10 | 17 Jul 2022 → 12 Sep 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 29 Apr 2016 → 29 Jul 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 22 Jan 2026 → 15 Mar 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 19 Mar 2023 → 15 May 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 7 | 13 Apr 2014 → 11 May 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 6 | 03 Jul 2026 → 02 Aug 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 01 Nov 2023 → 16 Feb 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 6 | 14 Oct 2016 → 20 Nov 2016 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Superliga | 277 | 78 | 28.2% | 1 | 15 |
| Danish Cup | 46 | 11 | 23.9% | 4 | 5 |
| Club Friendlies | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 4 | 4 |
| UEFA Europa League | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 34 | 6 | 17.7% | 9 |
| 2025 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 18 |
| 2024 | 37 | 11 | 29.7% | 5 |
| 2023 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 9 |
| 2022 | 36 | 13 | 36.1% | 10 |
| 2021 | 18 | 9 | 50.0% | 4 |
| 2020 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2019 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 2018 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2017 | 19 | 9 | 47.4% | 5 |
| 2016 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 10 |
| 2015 | 21 | 3 | 14.3% | 14 |
| 2014 | 16 | 4 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 2013 | 18 | 6 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 2009 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2008 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2000 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1963 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 03 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 03 Oct 12:00 |
Holstein Kiel
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.7% | ITL · Club Friendlies |
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.