What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 24 Mar 2023 → 10 Jun 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 12 | 27 Sep 1964 → 20 Jul 1965 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 10 | 05 Aug 1961 → 20 Jan 1962 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 13 Jun 2015 → 30 Nov 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 06 Sep 1976 → 14 Nov 1976 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 04 Jun 1967 → 16 Jan 1968 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 09 Sep 2024 → 06 Jun 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 24 Mar 2013 → 30 Sep 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 08 Sep 2012 → 08 Dec 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 21 Sep 1991 → 07 Dec 1991 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friendly | 286 | 85 | 29.7% | 0 | 7 |
| CECAFA Cup | 171 | 45 | 26.3% | 2 | 6 |
| African Cup of Nations qualification | 131 | 32 | 24.4% | 5 | 5 |
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 58 | 12 | 20.7% | 4 | 4 |
| African Cup of Nations | 26 | 4 | 15.4% | 1 | 5 |
| All-African Games | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 | 2 |
| Nile Basin Tournament | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Zambian Independence Tournament | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| COSAFA Cup | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 | 0 |
| Navruz Cup | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 2025 | 13 | 2 | 15.4% | 7 |
| 2024 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 5 |
| 2023 | 9 | 0 | 0.0% | 9 |
| 2022 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 2021 | 11 | 4 | 36.4% | 3 |
| 2020 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2019 | 13 | 6 | 46.2% | 2 |
| 2018 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 2017 | 18 | 8 | 44.4% | 4 |
| 2016 | 11 | 4 | 36.4% | 2 |
| 2015 | 13 | 2 | 15.4% | 9 |
| 2014 | 15 | 2 | 13.3% | 6 |
| 2013 | 14 | 3 | 21.4% | 8 |
| 2012 | 15 | 4 | 26.7% | 8 |
| 2011 | 17 | 4 | 23.5% | 5 |
| 2010 | 13 | 8 | 61.5% | 1 |
| 2009 | 15 | 2 | 13.3% | 7 |
| 2008 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 2007 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 2006 | 12 | 7 | 58.3% | 3 |
| 2005 | 14 | 3 | 21.4% | 5 |
| 2004 | 14 | 4 | 28.6% | 7 |
| 2003 | 16 | 7 | 43.8% | 4 |
| 2002 | 16 | 5 | 31.3% | 6 |
| 2001 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 5 |
| 2000 | 16 | 4 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 1999 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 7 |
| 1998 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1997 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1996 | 12 | 6 | 50.0% | 3 |
| 1995 | 10 | 5 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1994 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 1993 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 3 |
| 1992 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1991 | 14 | 3 | 21.4% | 8 |
| 1990 | 8 | 4 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1989 | 9 | 5 | 55.6% | 2 |
| 1988 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1987 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 3 |
| 1986 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 3 |
| 1985 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1984 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 5 |
| 1983 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 4 |
| 1982 | 11 | 4 | 36.4% | 3 |
| 1981 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1979 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1978 | 11 | 1 | 9.1% | 5 |
| 1977 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1976 | 13 | 1 | 7.7% | 9 |
| 1975 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 5 |
| 1974 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 1973 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 1972 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1971 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1970 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 1969 | 9 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1968 | 12 | 4 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1967 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 6 |
| 1966 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 3 |
| 1965 | 14 | 5 | 35.7% | 5 |
| 1964 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 1963 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 2 |
| 1962 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1961 | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 8 |
| 1960 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1959 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1958 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1957 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1956 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1955 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1954 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1953 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1952 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1951 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1950 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1948 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1947 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1946 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1945 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1944 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1943 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1942 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1941 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1940 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1939 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1938 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1937 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1935 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1932 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1931 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1930 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1929 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1928 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1926 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
Over 123 matches (Mar 2015 – Oct 2026), Uganda drew 35 where the draw model expected 31.8 from those particular fixtures — about 3 more, or 0.7 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 30.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. 2 of the matches carry no model probability and are left out. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.