WSG Tirol
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 1 Oct 2026.
Over 272 matches (Jul 2015 – Sep 2026), WSG Tirol drew 70 where the draw model expected 63.1 from those particular fixtures — about 7 more, or 1.0 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 65.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 02 Sep 2023 → 10 Mar 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 9 | 31 Oct 2020 → 27 Jan 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 8 | 05 Apr 2025 → 17 May 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 7 | 03 Dec 2025 → 14 Feb 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 7 | 17 Sep 2022 → 29 Oct 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 6 | 01 Mar 2026 → 11 Apr 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 6 | 28 Aug 2021 → 03 Oct 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 6 | 04 Apr 2021 → 28 Apr 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 03 Nov 2019 → 15 Dec 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 6 | 10 Aug 1968 → 02 Nov 1969 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bundesliga | 234 | 60 | 25.6% | 1 | 17 |
| Austrian Cup | 108 | 25 | 23.2% | 1 | 6 |
| Club Friendlies | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 29 | 7 | 24.1% | 6 |
| 2025 | 38 | 13 | 34.2% | 8 |
| 2024 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 5 |
| 2023 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 13 |
| 2022 | 36 | 7 | 19.4% | 7 |
| 2021 | 41 | 13 | 31.7% | 6 |
| 2020 | 29 | 8 | 27.6% | 7 |
| 2019 | 21 | 4 | 19.1% | 6 |
| 2018 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2017 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2016 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 2015 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 2014 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2013 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2012 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2011 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2010 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2009 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2008 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2006 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2005 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2003 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2002 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2001 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2000 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1999 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1998 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1997 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1996 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1995 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1994 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1993 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 1992 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1991 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1990 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1989 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1988 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1987 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1986 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1985 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1984 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1983 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1981 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1978 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1977 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1971 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1970 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1969 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1968 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1967 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, 01 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 01 Oct 12:00 |
Jahn Regensburg
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.7% | ITL · Club Friendlies |
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.