What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 197 matches (Jul 2015 – May 2026), Bruk-Bet Termalica Nieciecza drew 51 where the draw model expected 52.4 from those particular fixtures — about 1 fewer, or 0.2 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 52.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 07 Mar 2026 → 23 May 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 9 | 11 Mar 2017 → 14 May 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 9 | 21 Oct 2016 → 10 Feb 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 20 Jul 2015 → 12 Sep 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 7 | 26 Nov 2021 → 12 Feb 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 7 | 02 Dec 2017 → 24 Feb 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 7 | 20 Aug 2017 → 01 Oct 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 6 | 31 Oct 2025 → 02 Feb 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 18 Jul 2016 → 13 Aug 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 12 May 2018 → 05 Dec 2018 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ekstraklasa | 179 | 46 | 25.7% | 11 | 11 |
| Polish Cup | 24 | 5 | 20.8% | 0 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 16 | 3 | 18.8% | 11 |
| 2025 | 19 | 5 | 26.3% | 5 |
| 2024 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2023 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2022 | 17 | 6 | 35.3% | 4 |
| 2021 | 21 | 7 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 2020 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2019 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2018 | 19 | 3 | 15.8% | 5 |
| 2017 | 40 | 11 | 27.5% | 9 |
| 2016 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 8 |
| 2015 | 22 | 6 | 27.3% | 9 |
| 2014 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2013 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2012 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2011 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2010 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 03 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 03 Oct 11:00 | Clube Recreativo e Atlético Catalano | vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.0% | ITL · Club Friendlies |
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.