Played 454
Draw % 26.9%
No-draw N 6
Max streak 16 18 Aug 2012 → 06 Nov 2012
Avg top run 10.3 top 10
Draw debt E 1.51
p50 24.0%
p100 26.0%
Draw score 0.343 rank #315 Draws 122
Team strength · Elo all ratings ›
Rating 1,408 everyone starts at 1500
Peak 1,500 reached 26 Nov 1966
Rank #14,467 of 14,598 clubs
Matches rated 454 last 3 Oct 2026

What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.

Recent form · draws highlighted
D D D W W L L L W L W W W D L D W W D L L W L D L L W L W W

Over 109 matches (Aug 2024 – Oct 2026), Tamworth drew 28 where the draw model expected 28.3 from those particular fixtures — about 0 fewer, or 0.1 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.

A flat league average would have expected 27.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

Longest no-draw runs all on the records page ›
# Run From → To
1 16 18 Aug 2012 → 06 Nov 2012 ▸ matches
2 13 18 Oct 2025 → 03 Jan 2026 ▸ matches
3 12 24 Sep 2005 → 10 Dec 2005 ▸ matches
4 10 24 Feb 2026 → 03 Apr 2026 ▸ matches
5 10 26 Aug 2024 → 19 Oct 2024 ▸ matches
6 10 05 Feb 2011 → 19 Mar 2011 ▸ matches
7 8 15 Mar 2025 → 26 Apr 2025 ▸ matches
8 8 25 Feb 2014 → 25 Mar 2014 ▸ matches
9 8 03 Oct 2009 → 28 Nov 2009 ▸ matches
10 8 17 Feb 2007 → 17 Mar 2007 ▸ matches
By competition (all-time)
CompetitionPDDraw%NMax
National League 420 112 26.7% 6 16
FA Cup 33 10 30.3% 1 3
Club Friendlies 1 0 0.0% 1 1
By calendar year
YearPDDraw%Max
2026 34 9 26.5% 10
2025 49 12 24.5% 12
2024 26 7 26.9% 10
2014 23 3 13.0% 8
2013 46 12 26.1% 6
2012 48 13 27.1% 16
2011 53 13 24.5% 10
2010 42 13 31.0% 6
2009 24 10 41.7% 8
2007 24 4 16.7% 8
2006 48 14 29.2% 8
2005 23 7 30.4% 12
2004 1 0 0.0% 1
2001 2 1 50.0% 1
1999 2 2 100.0% 0
1998 2 1 50.0% 1
1990 1 0 0.0% 1
1987 1 0 0.0% 1
1970 2 1 50.0% 1
1969 2 0 0.0% 2
1966 1 0 0.0% 1
Matches all results ›
Date Home Score Away R Tournament
13 Nov 2004 Blackpool 3–0 Tamworth H ENG · FA Cup Round 1
27 Nov 2001 Rochdale 1–0 Tamworth H ENG · FA Cup Round 1
17 Nov 2001 Tamworth 1–1 Rochdale D ENG · FA Cup Round 1
09 Nov 1999 Bury 2–1(ft:a.e.t. 2–1, level at 90') Tamworth D ENG · FA Cup Round 1
30 Oct 1999 Tamworth 2–2 Bury D ENG · FA Cup Round 1
24 Nov 1998 Exeter City 4–1 Tamworth H ENG · FA Cup Round 1
14 Nov 1998 Tamworth 2–2 Exeter City D ENG · FA Cup Round 1
17 Nov 1990 Tamworth 4–6 Whitley Bay A ENG · FA Cup Round 1
14 Nov 1987 Colchester United 3–0 Tamworth H ENG · FA Cup Round 1
23 Nov 1970 York City 5–0 Tamworth H ENG · FA Cup Round 1
21 Nov 1970 Tamworth 0–0 York City D ENG · FA Cup Round 1
06 Dec 1969 Gillingham 6–0 Tamworth H ENG · FA Cup Round 2
15 Nov 1969 Tamworth 2–1 Torquay United H ENG · FA Cup Round 1
26 Nov 1966 Gillingham 4–1 Tamworth H ENG · FA Cup Round 1
454 matches · page 12 / 12 ‹ prev next ›
Upcoming fixtures
Date Home · Away 1 / X / 2 Draw · logistic Tournament
Sat, 10 Oct 2026
10 Oct 14:00 Tamworth vs Barrow – / – / – 25.3% ENG · National League
Fri, 23 Oct 2026
23 Oct 18:45 Gateshead vs Tamworth – / – / – 24.4% ENG · National League
Tue, 27 Oct 2026
27 Oct 19:45 Tamworth vs Scunthorpe United – / – / – 24.4% ENG · National League
Sat, 31 Oct 2026
31 Oct 15:00 Tamworth vs Woking – / – / – 27.4% ENG · National League

Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.