What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 02 Apr 2018 → 23 Sep 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 10 | 17 Aug 2024 → 27 Oct 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 8 | 20 Apr 2019 → 01 Sep 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 7 | 01 Oct 2023 → 25 Nov 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 7 | 24 Apr 2022 → 10 Sep 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 7 | 23 Feb 2022 → 26 Mar 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 7 | 14 Mar 2021 → 19 Apr 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 19 Jan 2020 → 22 Feb 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 03 Dec 2023 → 13 Jan 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 6 | 18 Dec 2022 → 04 Feb 2023 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie C | 164 | 49 | 29.9% | 1 | 8 |
| Serie B | 162 | 59 | 36.4% | 0 | 11 |
| Coppa Italia | 27 | 4 | 14.8% | 1 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 34 | 13 | 38.2% | 4 |
| 2025 | 38 | 18 | 47.4% | 5 |
| 2024 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 10 |
| 2023 | 39 | 14 | 35.9% | 7 |
| 2022 | 40 | 12 | 30.0% | 7 |
| 2021 | 40 | 11 | 27.5% | 7 |
| 2020 | 27 | 7 | 25.9% | 7 |
| 2019 | 29 | 8 | 27.6% | 8 |
| 2018 | 40 | 12 | 30.0% | 11 |
| 2017 | 18 | 7 | 38.9% | 4 |
| 2016 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2015 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2014 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2013 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2012 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2010 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
Over 348 matches (Aug 2015 – Oct 2026), FC Südtirol drew 112 where the draw model expected 108.6 from those particular fixtures — about 3 more, or 0.4 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 106.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.