What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 30 Sep 2026.
Over 187 matches (Jul 2015 – Sep 2025), Stal Mielec drew 56 where the draw model expected 50.6 from those particular fixtures — about 5 more, or 0.9 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 49.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 18 Sep 2023 → 03 Nov 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 7 | 27 Jul 2024 → 22 Sep 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 6 | 03 Sep 2022 → 14 Oct 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 6 | 01 Apr 2022 → 08 May 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 6 | 19 Sep 2020 → 07 Nov 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 6 | 15 Jul 1975 → 09 Sep 1975 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 5 | 31 Jul 2022 → 26 Aug 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 5 | 31 Jul 2021 → 27 Aug 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 4 | 01 Mar 2025 → 30 Mar 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 4 | 07 Dec 2024 → 16 Feb 2025 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ekstraklasa | 166 | 51 | 30.7% | 0 | 11 |
| Polish Cup | 57 | 11 | 19.3% | 1 | 4 |
| UEFA Europa League | 12 | 4 | 33.3% | 0 | 6 |
| UEFA Champions League | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17 | 6 | 35.3% | 4 |
| 2024 | 35 | 11 | 31.4% | 7 |
| 2023 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 8 |
| 2022 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 6 |
| 2021 | 36 | 14 | 38.9% | 5 |
| 2020 | 17 | 5 | 29.4% | 6 |
| 2019 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2018 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2017 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2016 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2015 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2014 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2004 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1996 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1995 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1994 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1993 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1992 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1991 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1990 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1989 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1988 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1987 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1986 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1985 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1984 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1983 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1982 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1979 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1976 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1975 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 6 |
| 1973 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
