What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23 | 22 Aug 2010 → 13 Jun 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 21 | 12 May 2012 → 07 Oct 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 17 | 16 May 2001 → 26 Aug 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 13 | 14 Jun 2026 → 12 Sep 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 07 Apr 2019 → 26 Jun 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 13 | 20 Apr 2016 → 10 Jul 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 13 | 30 Mar 2014 → 24 May 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 22 Oct 2016 → 30 Apr 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 12 | 23 Aug 2009 → 14 Mar 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 18 Oct 2025 → 12 Apr 2026 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eliteserien | 731 | 177 | 24.2% | 2 | 24 |
| Norwegian Football Cup | 206 | 30 | 14.6% | 0 | 7 |
| 1. divisjon | 201 | 50 | 24.9% | 4 | 14 |
| UEFA Europa League | 20 | 4 | 20.0% | 1 | 4 |
| UEFA Champions League | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 0 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 34 | 5 | 14.7% | 13 |
| 2025 | 38 | 11 | 29.0% | 7 |
| 2024 | 35 | 6 | 17.1% | 11 |
| 2023 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 7 |
| 2022 | 33 | 11 | 33.3% | 7 |
| 2021 | 33 | 7 | 21.2% | 8 |
| 2020 | 30 | 12 | 40.0% | 5 |
| 2019 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% | 13 |
| 2018 | 34 | 14 | 41.2% | 6 |
| 2017 | 35 | 10 | 28.6% | 7 |
| 2016 | 38 | 8 | 21.1% | 13 |
| 2015 | 36 | 6 | 16.7% | 9 |
| 2014 | 36 | 7 | 19.4% | 13 |
| 2013 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% | 10 |
| 2012 | 35 | 3 | 8.6% | 21 |
| 2011 | 33 | 6 | 18.2% | 13 |
| 2010 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 10 |
| 2009 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 11 |
| 2008 | 35 | 6 | 17.1% | 9 |
| 2007 | 32 | 8 | 25.0% | 10 |
| 2006 | 29 | 10 | 34.5% | 9 |
| 2005 | 35 | 7 | 20.0% | 7 |
| 2004 | 36 | 7 | 19.4% | 10 |
| 2003 | 30 | 9 | 30.0% | 5 |
| 2002 | 36 | 9 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 2001 | 30 | 3 | 10.0% | 17 |
| 2000 | 27 | 6 | 22.2% | 8 |
| 1999 | 32 | 4 | 12.5% | 11 |
| 1998 | 31 | 8 | 25.8% | 10 |
| 1997 | 31 | 5 | 16.1% | 10 |
| 1996 | 31 | 9 | 29.0% | 6 |
| 1995 | 31 | 10 | 32.3% | 7 |
| 1994 | 25 | 3 | 12.0% | 9 |
| 1993 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1992 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1991 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1981 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1976 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1975 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1974 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1973 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1972 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1971 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1970 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1969 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1968 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1967 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1965 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1964 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1963 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1956 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1955 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1954 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1953 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1949 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1946 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1945 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1940 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1936 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1935 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1934 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1933 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1932 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1931 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1930 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1929 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1928 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1927 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1926 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1925 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1923 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1921 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
Over 415 matches (Apr 2015 – Nov 2026), Stabæk Fotball drew 109 where the draw model expected 90.0 from those particular fixtures — about 19 more, or 2.3 standard errors, more of a gap than most, though roughly one subject in twenty looks like this by chance.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 5 times running. A flat league average would have expected 91.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.