St. Louis City SC
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 141 matches (Feb 2023 – Oct 2026), St. Louis City SC drew 35 where the draw model expected 34.7 from those particular fixtures — about 0 more, or 0.1 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 35.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 18 Jun 2023 → 03 Sep 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 10 | 26 Jun 2025 → 31 Aug 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 8 | 25 Apr 2023 → 08 Jun 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 8 | 26 Feb 2023 → 16 Apr 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 7 | 15 Apr 2026 → 14 May 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 6 | 13 Sep 2026 → 01 Oct 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 6 | 09 Mar 2025 → 14 Apr 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 6 | 15 Sep 2024 → 20 Oct 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 24 Sep 2023 → 05 Nov 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 18 May 2025 → 09 Jun 2025 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLS | 133 | 34 | 25.6% | 5 | 11 |
| US Open Cup | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 1 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 33 | 9 | 27.3% | 7 |
| 2025 | 36 | 8 | 22.2% | 10 |
| 2024 | 34 | 13 | 38.2% | 6 |
| 2023 | 38 | 5 | 13.2% | 11 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, 11 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 11 Oct 23:00 |
St. Louis City SC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.9% |
|
| Wed, 14 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 14 Oct 00:30 |
St. Louis City SC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 20:30 |
Minnesota United
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.6% |
|
| Wed, 21 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 21 Oct 00:00 |
Columbus Crew
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.7% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 00:30 |
Real Salt Lake
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.1% |
|
| Wed, 28 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 28 Oct 00:30 |
St. Louis City SC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 18.3% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 19:00 |
St. Louis City SC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 07 Nov 00:00 |
Houston Dynamo
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.7% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.