What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 26 Dec 2024 → 24 Apr 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 15 | 18 Sep 2021 → 18 Dec 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 13 | 31 Aug 2025 → 04 Nov 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 13 | 29 Jul 2022 → 09 Oct 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 12 | 24 Sep 2023 → 12 Nov 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 7 | 09 Nov 2022 → 15 Jan 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 6 | 30 Aug 2026 → 20 Sep 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 6 | 24 May 2026 → 08 Aug 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 07 Mar 2026 → 19 Apr 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 6 | 01 Apr 2024 → 28 Apr 2024 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belgian Pro League | 198 | 44 | 22.2% | 2 | 16 |
| Belgian Cup | 126 | 26 | 20.6% | 0 | 7 |
| UEFA Europa League | 29 | 8 | 27.6% | 1 | 6 |
| Inter-Cities Fairs Cup | 15 | 2 | 13.3% | 2 | 5 |
| Club Friendlies | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 4 | 4 |
| UEFA Champions League | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 8 | 8 |
| UEFA Conference League | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 43 | 10 | 23.3% | 6 |
| 2025 | 56 | 8 | 14.3% | 20 |
| 2024 | 57 | 19 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 2023 | 52 | 11 | 21.2% | 12 |
| 2022 | 40 | 7 | 17.5% | 13 |
| 2021 | 25 | 2 | 8.0% | 15 |
| 2019 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 2018 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2017 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2016 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2015 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2014 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2013 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2012 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2011 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2010 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2009 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2008 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2007 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2006 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2005 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2002 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2001 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1983 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1982 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1981 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1980 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1979 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1978 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1977 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1976 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1975 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1974 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1973 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1972 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1971 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1970 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1969 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 4 |
| 1968 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1967 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1966 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1965 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1964 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1963 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1962 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1961 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1960 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1959 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1954 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1953 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1927 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1926 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1914 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1913 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1912 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 289 matches (Aug 2015 – Oct 2026), Royale Union Saint-Gilloise drew 60 where the draw model expected 61.5 from those particular fixtures — about 1 fewer, or 0.2 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 67.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.