What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 10 May 2003 → 01 Nov 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 15 | 07 Nov 2021 → 13 Feb 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 13 | 05 Oct 2008 → 06 Dec 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 12 | 11 Apr 2026 → 12 Sep 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 12 | 13 Sep 2025 → 06 Dec 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 05 Oct 2024 → 12 Jan 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 15 Dec 2019 → 16 Feb 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 10 | 28 Feb 2021 → 09 May 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 10 | 11 Aug 2013 → 24 Sep 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 10 | 17 May 2008 → 20 Sep 2008 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ligue 1 | 890 | 255 | 28.7% | 5 | 14 |
| Ligue 2 | 357 | 105 | 29.4% | 4 | 17 |
| UEFA Europa League | 74 | 26 | 35.1% | 0 | 5 |
| UEFA Champions League | 41 | 7 | 17.1% | 1 | 7 |
| Coupe de France | 40 | 7 | 17.5% | 1 | 5 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Club Friendlies | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 30 | 4 | 13.3% | 12 |
| 2025 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 12 |
| 2024 | 35 | 5 | 14.3% | 10 |
| 2023 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 8 |
| 2022 | 38 | 11 | 29.0% | 7 |
| 2021 | 42 | 10 | 23.8% | 10 |
| 2020 | 32 | 8 | 25.0% | 10 |
| 2019 | 47 | 11 | 23.4% | 8 |
| 2018 | 39 | 12 | 30.8% | 7 |
| 2017 | 40 | 12 | 30.0% | 7 |
| 2016 | 54 | 19 | 35.2% | 6 |
| 2015 | 55 | 13 | 23.6% | 6 |
| 2014 | 48 | 18 | 37.5% | 6 |
| 2013 | 45 | 13 | 28.9% | 10 |
| 2012 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 7 |
| 2011 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 9 |
| 2010 | 40 | 14 | 35.0% | 6 |
| 2009 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 2008 | 49 | 10 | 20.4% | 13 |
| 2007 | 39 | 7 | 18.0% | 9 |
| 2006 | 38 | 10 | 26.3% | 7 |
| 2005 | 38 | 17 | 44.7% | 5 |
| 2004 | 38 | 13 | 34.2% | 8 |
| 2003 | 38 | 10 | 26.3% | 17 |
| 2002 | 37 | 13 | 35.1% | 7 |
| 2001 | 32 | 11 | 34.4% | 7 |
| 2000 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 6 |
| 1999 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 8 |
| 1998 | 40 | 16 | 40.0% | 5 |
| 1997 | 44 | 16 | 36.4% | 5 |
| 1996 | 39 | 15 | 38.5% | 5 |
| 1995 | 39 | 15 | 38.5% | 5 |
| 1994 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 9 |
| 1993 | 22 | 10 | 45.5% | 4 |
| 1982 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1981 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1980 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 5 |
| 1979 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 5 |
| 1977 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1976 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1975 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 4 |
| 1974 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1971 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1970 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1969 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1968 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1967 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1964 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1962 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1957 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
Over 489 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), AS Saint-Étienne drew 122 where the draw model expected 132.9 from those particular fixtures — about 11 fewer, or 1.1 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 135.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.