What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 23 Feb 2013 → 14 Dec 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 19 | 18 Jan 2019 → 18 Aug 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 19 | 25 Nov 2017 → 31 Mar 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 18 | 25 Nov 2011 → 07 Apr 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 18 | 24 Sep 2010 → 14 Jan 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 15 | 16 Oct 2022 → 05 Feb 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 15 | 27 Aug 2017 → 04 Nov 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 14 | 23 Oct 2012 → 26 Jan 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 13 | 13 Dec 2014 → 14 Mar 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 13 | 04 Oct 2005 → 14 Jan 2006 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Primeira Liga | 1066 | 263 | 24.7% | 4 | 24 |
| UEFA Europa League | 169 | 36 | 21.3% | 3 | 10 |
| UEFA Champions League | 22 | 1 | 4.6% | 1 | 10 |
| Taça de Portugal | 21 | 2 | 9.5% | 4 | 4 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 3 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 0 | 2 |
| UEFA Conference League | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 9 |
| 2025 | 56 | 13 | 23.2% | 9 |
| 2024 | 46 | 8 | 17.4% | 10 |
| 2023 | 51 | 8 | 15.7% | 9 |
| 2022 | 46 | 7 | 15.2% | 11 |
| 2021 | 50 | 12 | 24.0% | 10 |
| 2020 | 39 | 4 | 10.3% | 12 |
| 2019 | 44 | 6 | 13.6% | 19 |
| 2018 | 36 | 7 | 19.4% | 13 |
| 2017 | 46 | 10 | 21.7% | 15 |
| 2016 | 45 | 11 | 24.4% | 8 |
| 2015 | 42 | 9 | 21.4% | 11 |
| 2014 | 30 | 10 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 2013 | 34 | 3 | 8.8% | 26 |
| 2012 | 35 | 3 | 8.6% | 13 |
| 2011 | 46 | 16 | 34.8% | 5 |
| 2010 | 42 | 4 | 9.5% | 16 |
| 2009 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 9 |
| 2008 | 40 | 14 | 35.0% | 12 |
| 2007 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 6 |
| 2006 | 42 | 8 | 19.1% | 10 |
| 2005 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 11 |
| 2004 | 36 | 12 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 2003 | 34 | 13 | 38.2% | 5 |
| 2002 | 33 | 11 | 33.3% | 9 |
| 2001 | 35 | 10 | 28.6% | 7 |
| 2000 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 11 |
| 1999 | 33 | 8 | 24.2% | 8 |
| 1998 | 40 | 14 | 35.0% | 7 |
| 1997 | 41 | 12 | 29.3% | 10 |
| 1996 | 31 | 9 | 29.0% | 8 |
| 1995 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 7 |
| 1994 | 14 | 4 | 28.6% | 6 |
| 1984 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1982 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1978 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1966 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
Over 541 matches (Jan 2015 – Nov 2026), SC Braga drew 105 where the draw model expected 120.4 from those particular fixtures — about 15 fewer, or 1.6 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 133.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.