Śląsk Wrocław
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 1 Oct 2026.
Over 407 matches (Feb 2015 – Sep 2026), Śląsk Wrocław drew 129 where the draw model expected 113.6 from those particular fixtures — about 15 more, or 1.7 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 108.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 20 Sep 2012 → 18 Nov 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 10 | 29 Jul 2023 → 30 Sep 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 10 | 01 Sep 2018 → 03 Nov 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 29 Apr 2017 → 28 Jul 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 25 Sep 2013 → 03 Nov 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 20 Dec 2018 → 30 Mar 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 7 | 21 Oct 2019 → 08 Dec 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 14 Oct 2017 → 01 Dec 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 7 | 18 Feb 2017 → 07 Apr 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 22 May 2014 → 09 Aug 2014 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ekstraklasa | 464 | 148 | 31.9% | 3 | 10 |
| Polish Cup | 95 | 26 | 27.4% | 3 | 6 |
| UEFA Europa League | 36 | 11 | 30.6% | 1 | 3 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 1 | 4 |
| UEFA Champions League | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 0 | 1 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 | 0 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 2025 | 19 | 5 | 26.3% | 5 |
| 2024 | 36 | 13 | 36.1% | 5 |
| 2023 | 38 | 10 | 26.3% | 10 |
| 2022 | 34 | 14 | 41.2% | 4 |
| 2021 | 36 | 14 | 38.9% | 6 |
| 2020 | 32 | 8 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 2019 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 7 |
| 2018 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 10 |
| 2017 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 10 |
| 2016 | 38 | 13 | 34.2% | 4 |
| 2015 | 49 | 19 | 38.8% | 5 |
| 2014 | 37 | 11 | 29.7% | 7 |
| 2013 | 50 | 18 | 36.0% | 9 |
| 2012 | 21 | 2 | 9.5% | 11 |
| 2011 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 2 |
| 2010 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2009 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2008 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2007 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2006 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2003 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2002 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2001 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2000 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1999 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1998 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1997 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1996 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1995 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1994 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1993 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1992 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1991 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1990 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1989 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1988 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 2 |
| 1987 | 9 | 4 | 44.4% | 3 |
| 1986 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1985 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1984 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1983 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1982 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1980 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1978 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1977 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1976 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 5 |
| 1975 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 03 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 03 Oct 14:00 |
Śląsk Wrocław
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.7% | ITL · Club Friendlies |
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.