What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 16 Jun 2017 → 25 Sep 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 16 | 23 Oct 2015 → 20 May 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 15 | 04 Mar 2019 → 24 May 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 14 | 02 Jul 2021 → 15 Oct 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 06 Apr 2026 → 19 Jun 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 21 Apr 2023 → 09 Jun 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 28 Oct 2016 → 21 Apr 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 11 | 02 Aug 2013 → 06 Oct 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 10 | 06 May 2022 → 01 Jul 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 10 | 23 Oct 2021 → 11 Mar 2022 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier Division | 502 | 122 | 24.3% | 6 | 15 |
| FAI Cup | 331 | 87 | 26.3% | 0 | 4 |
| UEFA Europa League | 36 | 6 | 16.7% | 3 | 7 |
| UEFA Conference League | 26 | 7 | 26.9% | 3 | 4 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 16 | 2 | 12.5% | 4 | 4 |
| UEFA Champions League | 14 | 4 | 28.6% | 0 | 2 |
| Inter-Cities Fairs Cup | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 38 | 10 | 26.3% | 13 |
| 2025 | 55 | 13 | 23.6% | 7 |
| 2024 | 43 | 12 | 27.9% | 9 |
| 2023 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 11 |
| 2022 | 45 | 11 | 24.4% | 10 |
| 2021 | 38 | 6 | 15.8% | 14 |
| 2020 | 22 | 4 | 18.2% | 7 |
| 2019 | 45 | 8 | 17.8% | 15 |
| 2018 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 10 |
| 2017 | 42 | 5 | 11.9% | 18 |
| 2016 | 38 | 8 | 21.1% | 14 |
| 2015 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 8 |
| 2014 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 10 |
| 2013 | 37 | 13 | 35.1% | 11 |
| 2012 | 35 | 11 | 31.4% | 8 |
| 2011 | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 7 |
| 2010 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 2009 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% | 2 |
| 2008 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2007 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2006 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 2005 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2004 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 2003 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2002 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 4 |
| 2001 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 2 |
| 2000 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1999 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1998 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1994 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1991 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1990 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1988 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1987 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1986 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1985 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 1984 | 8 | 4 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1983 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1982 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 1981 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1980 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1979 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1978 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 7 |
| 1977 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1976 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1975 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1974 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1973 | 8 | 5 | 62.5% | 2 |
| 1972 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1971 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1970 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1969 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1968 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1967 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 2 |
| 1966 | 11 | 4 | 36.4% | 2 |
| 1965 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1964 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 3 |
| 1963 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1962 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1961 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1960 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1959 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1958 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1957 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 3 |
| 1956 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1955 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1954 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1953 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1952 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1951 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1950 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1949 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1948 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1947 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1946 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1945 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1944 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1943 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1942 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1941 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1940 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1939 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1938 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1937 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1936 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1935 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1934 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1933 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1932 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1931 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1930 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 1929 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1928 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1927 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1926 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1925 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1924 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1923 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1922 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
Over 479 matches (Mar 2015 – Oct 2026), Shamrock Rovers drew 110 where the draw model expected 116.3 from those particular fixtures — about 6 fewer, or 0.7 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 117.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.