What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 4 Oct 2026.
Over 661 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Sevilla drew 162 where the draw model expected 157.6 from those particular fixtures — about 4 more, or 0.4 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 165.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 17 Jun 2007 → 11 Nov 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 19 | 19 Nov 2005 → 12 Mar 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 18 | 15 Mar 2026 → 29 Aug 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 17 | 09 Dec 2009 → 20 Feb 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 16 | 23 Feb 2014 → 27 Apr 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 15 | 04 Nov 2010 → 08 Jan 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 15 | 07 Jan 2009 → 08 Mar 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 14 | 28 Mar 2010 → 28 Aug 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 13 | 19 Jan 2021 → 06 Mar 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 13 | 24 Oct 2020 → 15 Dec 2020 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Liga | 1155 | 282 | 24.4% | 3 | 16 |
| UEFA Europa League | 158 | 34 | 21.5% | 0 | 14 |
| Segunda División | 126 | 33 | 26.2% | 1 | 8 |
| Copa del Rey | 117 | 17 | 14.5% | 3 | 9 |
| UEFA Champions League | 76 | 20 | 26.3% | 4 | 10 |
| Club Friendlies | 36 | 11 | 30.6% | 5 | 5 |
| UEFA Super Cup | 7 | 4 | 57.1% | 0 | 1 |
| Inter-Cities Fairs Cup | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Supercopa de España | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 2 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 33 | 6 | 18.2% | 18 |
| 2025 | 46 | 12 | 26.1% | 12 |
| 2024 | 44 | 8 | 18.2% | 7 |
| 2023 | 68 | 21 | 30.9% | 8 |
| 2022 | 55 | 21 | 38.2% | 4 |
| 2021 | 62 | 17 | 27.4% | 13 |
| 2020 | 51 | 15 | 29.4% | 13 |
| 2019 | 55 | 8 | 14.5% | 9 |
| 2018 | 66 | 15 | 22.7% | 12 |
| 2017 | 54 | 13 | 24.1% | 13 |
| 2016 | 63 | 15 | 23.8% | 7 |
| 2015 | 64 | 11 | 17.2% | 13 |
| 2014 | 54 | 10 | 18.5% | 16 |
| 2013 | 57 | 15 | 26.3% | 7 |
| 2012 | 44 | 9 | 20.5% | 8 |
| 2011 | 47 | 13 | 27.7% | 8 |
| 2010 | 61 | 7 | 11.5% | 14 |
| 2009 | 51 | 7 | 13.7% | 15 |
| 2008 | 50 | 8 | 16.0% | 12 |
| 2007 | 61 | 14 | 23.0% | 20 |
| 2006 | 55 | 8 | 14.5% | 13 |
| 2005 | 48 | 12 | 25.0% | 9 |
| 2004 | 48 | 10 | 20.8% | 10 |
| 2003 | 41 | 12 | 29.3% | 8 |
| 2002 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% | 5 |
| 2001 | 42 | 13 | 31.0% | 5 |
| 2000 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 7 |
| 1999 | 42 | 12 | 28.6% | 6 |
| 1998 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 8 |
| 1997 | 45 | 11 | 24.4% | 10 |
| 1996 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 9 |
| 1995 | 47 | 17 | 36.2% | 5 |
| 1994 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 8 |
| 1993 | 16 | 5 | 31.3% | 6 |
| 1990 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1983 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1982 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1970 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1966 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1962 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1958 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1957 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon, 12 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 12 Oct 19:00 |
Levante UD
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.3% |
|
| Sun, 18 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 18 Oct 19:00 |
Real Madrid
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 13.1% |
|
| Mon, 26 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 26 Oct 20:00 |
Sevilla
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.0% |
|
| Sun, 01 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 01 Nov 13:00 |
Getafe CF
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.7% |
|
| Sun, 08 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 08 Nov 20:00 |
Sevilla
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.3% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.