What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 11 Aug 2024 → 15 Dec 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 12 | 01 Sep 2018 → 02 Jan 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 10 | 16 Dec 2019 → 02 Mar 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 11 Feb 2023 → 15 Apr 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 01 Sep 2002 → 17 Nov 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 18 Oct 2020 → 29 Dec 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 26 Mar 2000 → 14 May 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 11 Jan 2019 → 24 Feb 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 08 Feb 2021 → 13 Mar 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 6 | 16 Mar 2003 → 04 May 2003 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Primeira Liga | 350 | 95 | 27.1% | 3 | 16 |
| Taça de Portugal | 14 | 6 | 42.9% | 0 | 2 |
| UEFA Conference League | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 0 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 32 | 9 | 28.1% | 5 |
| 2025 | 43 | 15 | 34.9% | 5 |
| 2024 | 21 | 2 | 9.5% | 16 |
| 2023 | 22 | 4 | 18.2% | 9 |
| 2022 | 33 | 13 | 39.4% | 5 |
| 2021 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 6 |
| 2020 | 31 | 6 | 19.4% | 9 |
| 2019 | 34 | 12 | 35.3% | 7 |
| 2018 | 14 | 2 | 14.3% | 11 |
| 2009 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2003 | 19 | 8 | 42.1% | 6 |
| 2002 | 33 | 9 | 27.3% | 9 |
| 2001 | 16 | 4 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 2000 | 19 | 5 | 26.3% | 8 |
| 1999 | 15 | 5 | 33.3% | 5 |
Over 271 matches (Aug 2018 – Nov 2026), CD Santa Clara drew 73 where the draw model expected 69.8 from those particular fixtures — about 3 more, or 0.5 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 68.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.