San Jose Earthquakes
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 4 Oct 2026.
Over 429 matches (Mar 2015 – Sep 2026), San Jose Earthquakes drew 114 where the draw model expected 106.3 from those particular fixtures — about 8 more, or 0.9 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 107.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23 | 20 Jul 2025 → 28 Apr 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 13 | 01 Jun 2024 → 15 Sep 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 26 May 2013 → 19 Aug 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 11 | 11 Aug 2019 → 06 Oct 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 10 | 22 Sep 2024 → 22 Mar 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 25 Feb 2024 → 22 Apr 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 11 Jun 2019 → 28 Jul 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 25 Jun 2017 → 06 Aug 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 23 Oct 2016 → 01 Apr 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 17 Apr 2021 → 30 May 2021 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLS | 501 | 135 | 27.0% | 2 | 21 |
| US Open Cup | 24 | 6 | 25.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 0 | 4 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 32 | 7 | 21.9% | 12 |
| 2025 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 11 |
| 2024 | 36 | 4 | 11.1% | 13 |
| 2023 | 36 | 15 | 41.7% | 4 |
| 2022 | 38 | 13 | 34.2% | 6 |
| 2021 | 34 | 11 | 32.4% | 8 |
| 2020 | 26 | 7 | 26.9% | 7 |
| 2019 | 39 | 6 | 15.4% | 11 |
| 2018 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 8 |
| 2017 | 43 | 8 | 18.6% | 9 |
| 2016 | 35 | 14 | 40.0% | 4 |
| 2015 | 36 | 9 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 2014 | 34 | 12 | 35.3% | 8 |
| 2013 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 12 |
| 2012 | 36 | 9 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 2005 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2004 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 01:30 |
Colorado Rapids
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.0% |
|
| Wed, 14 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 14 Oct 01:30 |
Real Salt Lake
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.0% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 02:30 |
San Jose Earthquakes
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 00:30 |
FC Dallas
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.6% |
|
| Wed, 28 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 28 Oct 02:30 |
San Jose Earthquakes
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.5% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 21:00 |
San Jose Earthquakes
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.5% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 07 Nov 00:00 |
Minnesota United
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.