What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 157 matches (Sep 2015 – Sep 2026), Samsunspor drew 41 where the draw model expected 39.4 from those particular fixtures — about 2 more, or 0.3 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 38.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 19 Nov 1995 → 02 Mar 1996 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 15 | 28 Aug 2004 → 22 Dec 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 14 | 15 Mar 1998 → 12 Sep 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 12 | 21 Dec 2005 → 19 Mar 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 10 Oct 2001 → 12 Dec 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 10 | 02 Apr 2000 → 20 Aug 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 10 | 19 Jan 2000 → 18 Mar 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 25 May 2024 → 06 Oct 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 04 Dec 2002 → 02 Mar 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 18 Oct 1998 → 02 Dec 1998 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Süper Lig | 557 | 133 | 23.9% | 6 | 15 |
| Turkish Cup | 107 | 28 | 26.2% | 0 | 6 |
| UEFA Conference League | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 6 | 6 |
| Club Friendlies | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 | 3 |
| UEFA Europa League | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 0 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 32 | 8 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 2025 | 48 | 14 | 29.2% | 7 |
| 2024 | 41 | 13 | 31.7% | 9 |
| 2023 | 18 | 3 | 16.7% | 8 |
| 2022 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2021 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2020 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2019 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2018 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2017 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2016 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2015 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2014 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2013 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2012 | 20 | 4 | 20.0% | 7 |
| 2011 | 17 | 6 | 35.3% | 5 |
| 2010 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2009 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2008 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2007 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2006 | 23 | 6 | 26.1% | 11 |
| 2005 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 6 |
| 2004 | 36 | 4 | 11.1% | 15 |
| 2003 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% | 5 |
| 2002 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 5 |
| 2001 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 11 |
| 2000 | 40 | 6 | 15.0% | 10 |
| 1999 | 32 | 7 | 21.9% | 7 |
| 1998 | 36 | 6 | 16.7% | 14 |
| 1997 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 8 |
| 1996 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 9 |
| 1995 | 40 | 7 | 17.5% | 8 |
| 1994 | 19 | 6 | 31.6% | 5 |
| 1993 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1992 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1991 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1990 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1989 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1988 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 1987 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1982 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1967 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1965 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 13:00 |
Samsunspor
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.0% |
|
| Sun, 18 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 18 Oct 10:30 |
Kasımpaşa SK
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.0% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 16:00 |
Samsunspor
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Sun, 01 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 01 Nov 13:00 |
İstanbul Başakşehir
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.5% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 07 Nov 13:00 |
Samsunspor
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.9% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.