What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 2 Oct 2026.
Over 143 matches (Feb 2015 – Sep 2025), Ruch Chorzów drew 37 where the draw model expected 38.2 from those particular fixtures — about 1 fewer, or 0.2 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 37.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 28 Aug 2016 → 27 Feb 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 13 | 01 Dec 2013 → 12 Apr 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 13 | 14 Mar 2012 → 09 Sep 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 12 | 12 Apr 2024 → 02 Apr 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 12 | 04 Oct 2014 → 22 Feb 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 24 Sep 2008 → 23 Mar 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 13 Aug 2015 → 02 Oct 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 22 Apr 2016 → 29 Jul 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 19 May 2015 → 03 Aug 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 21 Sep 1983 → 05 Sep 1984 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ekstraklasa | 212 | 58 | 27.4% | 7 | 17 |
| Polish Cup | 133 | 27 | 20.3% | 1 | 11 |
| UEFA Europa League | 32 | 7 | 21.9% | 1 | 6 |
| UEFA Champions League | 14 | 4 | 28.6% | 1 | 5 |
| Inter-Cities Fairs Cup | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 1 | 4 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 0 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2024 | 18 | 4 | 22.2% | 10 |
| 2023 | 20 | 10 | 50.0% | 3 |
| 2022 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2019 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2018 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2017 | 18 | 6 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 2016 | 38 | 7 | 18.4% | 15 |
| 2015 | 41 | 9 | 22.0% | 9 |
| 2014 | 42 | 12 | 28.6% | 10 |
| 2013 | 41 | 15 | 36.6% | 5 |
| 2012 | 26 | 4 | 15.4% | 13 |
| 2011 | 4 | 3 | 75.0% | 1 |
| 2010 | 12 | 5 | 41.7% | 3 |
| 2009 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 2008 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2007 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2006 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2005 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2004 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2003 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2002 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2001 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2000 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 6 |
| 1999 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1998 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1997 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1996 | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 4 |
| 1995 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1994 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1993 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1992 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1991 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1990 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1989 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1988 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1987 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1986 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1985 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1984 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1983 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1979 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1975 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 2 |
| 1974 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1973 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 6 |
| 1972 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1970 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1969 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1968 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1963 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1951 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1926 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 03 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 03 Oct 18:00 |
Ruch Chorzów
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.6% | ITL · Club Friendlies |
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.