What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 25 Oct 2024 → 26 Jul 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 26 | 02 Oct 2005 → 16 Apr 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 17 | 12 Nov 2022 → 05 Mar 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 16 | 27 Jan 2001 → 25 Aug 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 14 | 19 Mar 2023 → 13 Aug 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 14 | 07 Apr 2012 → 16 Sep 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 13 | 18 Dec 2010 → 11 Mar 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 08 Jan 2022 → 20 Mar 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 12 | 22 Jan 2010 → 03 Apr 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 12 | 20 Nov 2004 → 19 Feb 2005 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ligue 1 | 1183 | 310 | 26.2% | 8 | 28 |
| UEFA Europa League | 61 | 13 | 21.3% | 0 | 8 |
| Coupe de France | 60 | 11 | 18.3% | 3 | 6 |
| Club Friendlies | 22 | 3 | 13.6% | 3 | 3 |
| UEFA Conference League | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 | 3 |
| UEFA Champions League | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 | 5 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Trophée des Champions | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 39 | 6 | 15.4% | 10 |
| 2025 | 40 | 7 | 17.5% | 22 |
| 2024 | 42 | 6 | 14.3% | 8 |
| 2023 | 51 | 8 | 15.7% | 14 |
| 2022 | 47 | 10 | 21.3% | 12 |
| 2021 | 48 | 12 | 25.0% | 8 |
| 2020 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 7 |
| 2019 | 55 | 15 | 27.3% | 10 |
| 2018 | 46 | 12 | 26.1% | 10 |
| 2017 | 40 | 14 | 35.0% | 9 |
| 2016 | 42 | 9 | 21.4% | 7 |
| 2015 | 42 | 17 | 40.5% | 9 |
| 2014 | 44 | 12 | 27.3% | 7 |
| 2013 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 8 |
| 2012 | 43 | 7 | 16.3% | 14 |
| 2011 | 51 | 12 | 23.5% | 11 |
| 2010 | 41 | 13 | 31.7% | 12 |
| 2009 | 44 | 11 | 25.0% | 8 |
| 2008 | 43 | 17 | 39.5% | 4 |
| 2007 | 45 | 14 | 31.1% | 10 |
| 2006 | 38 | 10 | 26.3% | 16 |
| 2005 | 44 | 8 | 18.2% | 10 |
| 2004 | 38 | 7 | 18.4% | 9 |
| 2003 | 37 | 13 | 35.1% | 5 |
| 2002 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 9 |
| 2001 | 31 | 6 | 19.4% | 16 |
| 2000 | 36 | 7 | 19.4% | 10 |
| 1999 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 9 |
| 1998 | 33 | 9 | 27.3% | 8 |
| 1997 | 36 | 11 | 30.6% | 6 |
| 1996 | 39 | 12 | 30.8% | 7 |
| 1995 | 39 | 13 | 33.3% | 7 |
| 1994 | 21 | 6 | 28.6% | 6 |
| 1971 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1965 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
Over 530 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Stade Rennais drew 125 where the draw model expected 137.5 from those particular fixtures — about 12 fewer, or 1.2 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 140.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.